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Wellington CityPopulation forecast

Mt Cook

Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Mt Cook indicate a 69.5% increase in population under working age, a 80.8% increase in population of retirement age, and a 34.6% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Mt Cook is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Mt Cook - Total persons201320282043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)2023.03633.83873.7+185
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)1852.72933.13833.6+198
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)2093.15035.35775.4+368
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)2,69239.92,64228.03,00428.3+313
Young workforce (25 to 34)1,60023.72,73729.02,72325.7+1,123
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)96114.21,56016.51,91318.0+952
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)4226.34815.16476.1+225
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)2954.43924.24143.9+119
Seniors (70 to 84)1542.33533.74304.1+276
Elderly aged (85 and over)240.41101.21351.3+110
Total persons6,745100.09,435100.010,614100.0+3,869
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id (informed decisions), December 2020.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant age structure for persons in Mt Cook was ages Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24), which accounted for 39.9% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2013 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages Young workforce (25 to 34), which is expected to increase by 1,137 and account for 29.0% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2028 is Young workforce (25 to 34) years, with a total of 2,737 persons.

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