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Wellington CityPopulation forecast

Aro Valley - Highbury

Population and age structure

Between 2024 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Aro Valley - Highbury indicate a 12.1% increase in population under working age, a 13.2% increase in population of retirement age, and a 0.9% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Aro Valley - Highbury is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Aro Valley - Highbury - Total persons202420282043Change between 2024 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42025.22225.61694.1-34
5 to 91313.41493.81202.9-11
10 to 141122.91283.21122.70
15 to 192205.72255.72546.1+34
20 to 2445811.846811.872717.5+269
25 to 2953013.744411.257313.8+43
30 to 3461215.747311.94139.9-199
35 to 393268.444211.13077.4-18
40 to 441955.02416.12195.3+25
45 to 491784.61874.72165.2+38
50 to 541794.61694.32155.2+36
55 to 591614.21774.51643.9+3
60 to 641584.11654.21443.5-13
65 to 691413.61403.51313.2-10
70 to 741283.31293.21283.10
75 to 79782.01062.71112.7+34
80 to 84431.1631.6852.0+42
85 and over340.9421.1731.7+39
Total persons3,885100.03,968100.04,163100.0+277
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2019.

Key findings

In 2024, the dominant age structure for persons in Aro Valley - Highbury was ages 30 to 34, which accounted for 15.7% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2024 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages 35 to 39, which is expected to increase by 117 and account for 11.1% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2028 is 30 to 34 years, with a total of 473 persons.

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