Wellington CityPopulation forecast
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Churton Park - Glenside

Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Churton Park - Glenside indicate a 21.1% increase in population under working age, a 169.1% increase in population of retirement age, and a 25.3% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Wellington City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Churton Park - Glenside - Total persons201320282043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 44616.75165.45055.0+44
5 to 95157.56266.65865.8+71
10 to 144857.06286.65875.8+103
15 to 194857.16266.66206.2+134
20 to 244256.25585.95645.6+139
25 to 293495.14054.34164.1+67
30 to 344256.23753.93753.7-50
35 to 394656.84344.64234.2-42
40 to 446118.95325.65055.0-107
45 to 496299.17087.46336.3+4
50 to 545748.47708.17077.0+132
55 to 594306.38048.57397.3+309
60 to 643545.17367.77577.5+404
65 to 692323.46036.37087.0+475
70 to 741622.44444.76596.5+496
75 to 791051.53383.65555.5+450
80 to 84650.92102.24014.0+336
85 and over1021.51972.13173.2+215
Total persons6,874100.09,510100.010,055100.0+3,180

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, July 2016.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2043: 317 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2043: 401 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2043: 555 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2043: 659 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2043: 708 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2043: 757 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2043: 739 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2043: 707 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2043: 633 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2043: 505 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2043: 423 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2043: 375 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2043: 416 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2043: 564 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2043: 620 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2043: 587 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2043: 586 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2043: 505 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028: 197 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028: 210 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028: 338 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028: 444 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028: 603 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028: 736 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028: 804 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028: 770 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028: 708 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028: 532 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028: 434 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028: 375 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028: 405 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028: 558 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028: 626 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028: 628 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028: 626 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028: 516 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013: 102 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013: 65 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013: 105 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013: 162 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013: 232 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013: 354 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013: 430 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013: 574 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013: 629 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013: 611 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013: 465 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013: 425 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013: 349 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013: 425 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013: 485 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013: 485 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013: 515 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013: 461
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2016.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028 to 2043: 120 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028 to 2043: 191 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028 to 2043: 217 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028 to 2043: 215 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028 to 2043: 104 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028 to 2043: 21 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028 to 2043: -65 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028 to 2043: -63 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028 to 2043: -75 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028 to 2043: -28 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028 to 2043: -10 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028 to 2043: -1 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028 to 2043: 11 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028 to 2043: 6 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028 to 2043: -6 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028 to 2043: -40 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028 to 2043: -40 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028 to 2043: -11 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013 to 2028: 95 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013 to 2028: 145 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013 to 2028: 233 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013 to 2028: 282 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013 to 2028: 371 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013 to 2028: 383 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013 to 2028: 374 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013 to 2028: 196 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013 to 2028: 79 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013 to 2028: -79 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013 to 2028: -32 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013 to 2028: -50 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013 to 2028: 56 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013 to 2028: 133 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013 to 2028: 141 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013 to 2028: 143 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013 to 2028: 111 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013 to 2028: 55
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2016.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant age structure for persons in Churton Park - Glenside was ages 45 to 49, which accounted for 9.1% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2013 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages 60 to 64, which is expected to increase by 383 and account for 7.7% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2028 is 55 to 59 years, with a total of 804 persons.

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