Wellington CityPopulation forecast
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Karori

Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Karori indicate a 8.2% decrease in population under working age, a 80.8% increase in population of retirement age, and a 4.4% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Wellington City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Karori - Total persons201320282043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41,0336.88535.48885.4-145
5 to 91,0647.09706.19976.1-67
10 to 141,0647.01,0806.81,0976.7+33
15 to 191,1277.41,1997.61,1567.0+28
20 to 241,0266.79736.19896.0-36
25 to 298145.48115.18645.3+50
30 to 349856.58855.69265.6-59
35 to 391,1627.61,0526.61,0886.6-74
40 to 441,2958.51,1377.21,1687.1-127
45 to 491,2528.21,1277.11,1246.9-128
50 to 541,0657.09596.09615.9-104
55 to 599176.08855.68525.2-65
60 to 647144.78725.58235.0+109
65 to 696114.08105.17734.7+163
70 to 743822.57274.67384.5+356
75 to 792791.85863.77084.3+429
80 to 842571.74693.06103.7+354
85 and over1621.14652.96403.9+478
Total persons15,210100.015,862100.016,405100.0+1,195

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, July 2016.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2043: 640 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2043: 610 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2043: 708 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2043: 738 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2043: 773 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2043: 823 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2043: 852 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2043: 961 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2043: 1,124 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2043: 1,168 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2043: 1,088 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2043: 926 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2043: 864 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2043: 989 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2043: 1,156 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2043: 1,097 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2043: 997 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2043: 888 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028: 465 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028: 469 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028: 586 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028: 727 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028: 810 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028: 872 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028: 885 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028: 959 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028: 1,127 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028: 1,137 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028: 1,052 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028: 885 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028: 811 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028: 973 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028: 1,199 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028: 1,080 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028: 970 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028: 853 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013: 162 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013: 257 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013: 279 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013: 382 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013: 611 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013: 714 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013: 917 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013: 1,065 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013: 1,252 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013: 1,295 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013: 1,162 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013: 985 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013: 814 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013: 1,026 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013: 1,127 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013: 1,064 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013: 1,064 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013: 1,033
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2016.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028 to 2043: 175 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028 to 2043: 141 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028 to 2043: 122 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028 to 2043: 11 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028 to 2043: -36 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028 to 2043: -48 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028 to 2043: -33 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028 to 2043: 2 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028 to 2043: -3 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028 to 2043: 31 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028 to 2043: 36 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028 to 2043: 41 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028 to 2043: 53 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028 to 2043: 16 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028 to 2043: -43 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028 to 2043: 17 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028 to 2043: 27 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028 to 2043: 35 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013 to 2028: 303 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013 to 2028: 213 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013 to 2028: 307 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013 to 2028: 346 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013 to 2028: 199 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013 to 2028: 157 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013 to 2028: -32 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013 to 2028: -106 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013 to 2028: -125 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013 to 2028: -158 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013 to 2028: -109 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013 to 2028: -100 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013 to 2028: -3 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013 to 2028: -52 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013 to 2028: 72 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013 to 2028: 16 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013 to 2028: -94 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013 to 2028: -180
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2016.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant age structure for persons in Karori was ages 40 to 44, which accounted for 8.5% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2013 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages 70 to 74, which is expected to increase by 346 and account for 4.6% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2028 is 15 to 19 years, with a total of 1,199 persons.

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