Wellington CityPopulation forecast
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Kelburn

Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Kelburn indicate a 0.2% increase in population under working age, a 123.7% increase in population of retirement age, and a 3.4% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Wellington City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Kelburn - Total persons201320282043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41082.41643.31272.5+20
5 to 91523.41412.81122.2-40
10 to 141743.91302.61062.1-68
15 to 1996621.795019.196919.3+4
20 to 2487019.574715.11,02320.3+153
25 to 294159.351510.464412.8+229
30 to 342645.93657.43406.8+76
35 to 391834.12755.52094.1+25
40 to 441804.01873.81573.1-23
45 to 492144.81833.71643.3-50
50 to 542365.31853.71693.4-67
55 to 591864.22044.11613.2-25
60 to 641924.32204.41623.2-31
65 to 691383.12204.41603.2+22
70 to 74761.71733.51563.1+81
75 to 79420.91503.01513.0+108
80 to 84431.0941.91282.6+86
85 and over130.3611.2951.9+83
Total persons4,453100.04,965100.05,034100.0+581

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, July 2016.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2043: 95 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2043: 128 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2043: 151 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2043: 156 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2043: 160 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2043: 162 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2043: 161 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2043: 169 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2043: 164 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2043: 157 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2043: 209 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2043: 340 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2043: 644 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2043: 1,023 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2043: 969 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2043: 106 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2043: 112 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2043: 127 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028: 61 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028: 94 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028: 150 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028: 173 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028: 220 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028: 220 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028: 204 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028: 185 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028: 183 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028: 187 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028: 275 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028: 365 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028: 515 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028: 747 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028: 950 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028: 130 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028: 141 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028: 164 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013: 13 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013: 43 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013: 42 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013: 76 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013: 138 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013: 192 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013: 186 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013: 236 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013: 214 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013: 180 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013: 183 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013: 264 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013: 415 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013: 870 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013: 966 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013: 174 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013: 152 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013: 108
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2016.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028 to 2043: 34 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028 to 2043: 34 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028 to 2043: 1 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028 to 2043: -17 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028 to 2043: -60 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028 to 2043: -58 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028 to 2043: -43 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028 to 2043: -16 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028 to 2043: -19 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028 to 2043: -30 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028 to 2043: -66 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028 to 2043: -25 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028 to 2043: 129 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028 to 2043: 275 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028 to 2043: 20 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028 to 2043: -24 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028 to 2043: -29 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028 to 2043: -36 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013 to 2028: 49 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013 to 2028: 52 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013 to 2028: 108 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013 to 2028: 98 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013 to 2028: 83 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013 to 2028: 28 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013 to 2028: 18 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013 to 2028: -52 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013 to 2028: -31 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013 to 2028: 6 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013 to 2028: 92 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013 to 2028: 101 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013 to 2028: 100 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013 to 2028: -122 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013 to 2028: -16 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013 to 2028: -45 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013 to 2028: -12 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013 to 2028: 56
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2016.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant age structure for persons in Kelburn was ages 15 to 19, which accounted for 21.7% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2013 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79, which is expected to increase by 108 and account for 3.0% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2028 is 15 to 19 years, with a total of 950 persons.

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