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Kilbirnie - Rongotai - Moa Point

Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Kilbirnie - Rongotai - Moa Point indicate a 40.0% decrease in population under working age, a 51.1% increase in population of retirement age, and a 7.6% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Wellington City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Kilbirnie - Rongotai - Moa Point - Total persons201320282043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 43216.32133.93204.7-1
5 to 92765.41542.82533.7-23
10 to 142595.11472.71842.7-75
15 to 192955.83205.93114.6+16
20 to 243937.760011.072910.7+337
25 to 294088.059110.977111.3+363
30 to 344729.24277.96068.9+134
35 to 393897.62695.04216.2+33
40 to 443907.62554.73415.0-49
45 to 493697.23406.33515.2-18
50 to 543336.53306.13405.0+6
55 to 592555.03416.33385.0+83
60 to 642164.23165.83495.1+133
65 to 691773.52865.33274.8+150
70 to 741633.22434.53254.8+162
75 to 791262.52073.82944.3+168
80 to 841352.61723.22573.8+122
85 and over1472.92224.12764.1+129
Total persons5,124100.05,434100.06,794100.0+1,669

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, July 2016.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2043: 276 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2043: 257 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2043: 294 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2043: 325 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2043: 327 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2043: 349 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2043: 338 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2043: 340 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2043: 351 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2043: 341 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2043: 421 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2043: 606 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2043: 771 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2043: 729 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2043: 311 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2043: 184 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2043: 253 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2043: 320 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028: 222 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028: 172 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028: 207 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028: 243 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028: 286 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028: 316 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028: 341 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028: 330 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028: 340 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028: 255 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028: 269 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028: 427 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028: 591 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028: 600 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028: 320 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028: 147 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028: 154 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028: 213 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013: 147 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013: 135 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013: 126 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013: 163 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013: 177 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013: 216 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013: 255 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013: 333 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013: 369 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013: 390 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013: 389 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013: 472 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013: 408 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013: 393 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013: 295 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013: 259 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013: 276 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013: 321
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2016.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028 to 2043: 54 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028 to 2043: 85 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028 to 2043: 87 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028 to 2043: 82 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028 to 2043: 40 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028 to 2043: 34 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028 to 2043: -3 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028 to 2043: 9 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028 to 2043: 11 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028 to 2043: 86 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028 to 2043: 152 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028 to 2043: 179 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028 to 2043: 179 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028 to 2043: 130 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028 to 2043: -9 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028 to 2043: 37 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028 to 2043: 99 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028 to 2043: 107 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013 to 2028: 75 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013 to 2028: 37 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013 to 2028: 81 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013 to 2028: 80 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013 to 2028: 109 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013 to 2028: 99 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013 to 2028: 85 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013 to 2028: -3 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013 to 2028: -29 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013 to 2028: -135 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013 to 2028: -119 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013 to 2028: -45 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013 to 2028: 183 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013 to 2028: 207 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013 to 2028: 25 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013 to 2028: -112 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013 to 2028: -122 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013 to 2028: -108
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2016.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant age structure for persons in Kilbirnie - Rongotai - Moa Point was ages 30 to 34, which accounted for 9.2% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2013 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages 20 to 24, which is expected to increase by 207 and account for 11.0% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2028 is 20 to 24 years, with a total of 600 persons.

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