Wellington CityPopulation forecast
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Kingston - Mornington - Vogeltown

Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Kingston - Mornington - Vogeltown indicate a 10.2% decrease in population under working age, a 59.7% increase in population of retirement age, and a 3.9% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Wellington City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Kingston - Mornington - Vogeltown - Total persons201320282043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42317.61996.12126.2-19
5 to 91755.71524.61604.7-15
10 to 141334.41334.11303.8-3
15 to 191374.51785.41614.7+24
20 to 242357.73099.435710.5+122
25 to 292698.839912.245213.3+183
30 to 3432610.737911.640411.9+78
35 to 392749.02838.73018.9+27
40 to 442518.21805.52056.0-46
45 to 492227.31414.31594.7-63
50 to 542036.61324.01333.9-70
55 to 591474.81474.51113.3-36
60 to 641334.41344.1932.7-40
65 to 69902.91293.9972.9+8
70 to 74812.61153.51173.4+36
75 to 79421.41113.41143.4+72
80 to 84371.2762.31002.9+62
85 and over682.2772.4912.7+23
Total persons3,053100.03,273100.03,396100.0+343

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, July 2016.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2043: 91 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2043: 100 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2043: 114 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2043: 117 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2043: 97 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2043: 93 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2043: 111 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2043: 133 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2043: 159 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2043: 205 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2043: 301 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2043: 404 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2043: 452 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2043: 357 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2043: 161 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2043: 130 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2043: 160 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2043: 212 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028: 77 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028: 76 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028: 111 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028: 115 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028: 129 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028: 134 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028: 147 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028: 132 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028: 141 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028: 180 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028: 283 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028: 379 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028: 399 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028: 309 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028: 178 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028: 133 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028: 152 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028: 199 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013: 68 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013: 37 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013: 42 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013: 81 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013: 90 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013: 133 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013: 147 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013: 203 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013: 222 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013: 251 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013: 274 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013: 326 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013: 269 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013: 235 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013: 137 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013: 133 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013: 175 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013: 231
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2016.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028 to 2043: 14 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028 to 2043: 24 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028 to 2043: 3 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028 to 2043: 2 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028 to 2043: -32 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028 to 2043: -41 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028 to 2043: -37 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028 to 2043: 1 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028 to 2043: 18 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028 to 2043: 25 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028 to 2043: 18 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028 to 2043: 25 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028 to 2043: 54 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028 to 2043: 48 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028 to 2043: -17 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028 to 2043: -3 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028 to 2043: 8 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028 to 2043: 13 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013 to 2028: 10 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013 to 2028: 39 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013 to 2028: 69 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013 to 2028: 34 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013 to 2028: 39 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013 to 2028: 1 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013 to 2028: 0 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013 to 2028: -71 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013 to 2028: -81 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013 to 2028: -71 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013 to 2028: 10 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013 to 2028: 52 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013 to 2028: 130 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013 to 2028: 74 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013 to 2028: 41 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013 to 2028: 0 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013 to 2028: -23 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013 to 2028: -33
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2016.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant age structure for persons in Kingston - Mornington - Vogeltown was ages 30 to 34, which accounted for 10.7% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2013 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages 25 to 29, which is expected to increase by 130 and account for 12.2% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2028 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 399 persons.

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