Wellington CityPopulation forecast
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Lyall Bay

Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Lyall Bay indicate a 2.5% increase in population under working age, a 59.2% increase in population of retirement age, and a 1.3% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Wellington City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Lyall Bay - Total persons201320282043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41927.12087.32187.4+26
5 to 91816.71746.11796.1-1
10 to 141495.51535.31495.10
15 to 191595.91435.01495.0-10
20 to 241465.41796.21906.4+44
25 to 291786.62207.72307.8+52
30 to 342188.12197.72257.6+7
35 to 392529.41906.62046.9-48
40 to 442549.41635.71715.8-83
45 to 492198.11736.01625.5-57
50 to 542017.51896.61525.1-49
55 to 591355.01896.61424.8+7
60 to 64953.51675.81454.9+51
65 to 69943.51545.41545.2+60
70 to 74782.91164.11555.3+77
75 to 79511.9863.01334.5+83
80 to 84321.2732.51073.6+76
85 and over592.2712.5832.8+24
Total persons2,691100.02,867100.02,950100.0+259

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, July 2016.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2043: 83 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2043: 107 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2043: 133 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2043: 155 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2043: 154 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2043: 145 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2043: 142 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2043: 152 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2043: 162 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2043: 171 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2043: 204 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2043: 225 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2043: 230 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2043: 190 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2043: 149 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2043: 149 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2043: 179 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2043: 218 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028: 71 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028: 73 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028: 86 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028: 116 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028: 154 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028: 167 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028: 189 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028: 189 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028: 173 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028: 163 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028: 190 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028: 219 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028: 220 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028: 179 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028: 143 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028: 153 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028: 174 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028: 208 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013: 59 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013: 32 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013: 51 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013: 78 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013: 94 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013: 95 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013: 135 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013: 201 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013: 219 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013: 254 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013: 252 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013: 218 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013: 178 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013: 146 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013: 159 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013: 149 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013: 181 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013: 192
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2016.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028 to 2043: 12 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028 to 2043: 35 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028 to 2043: 47 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028 to 2043: 39 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028 to 2043: 1 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028 to 2043: -21 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028 to 2043: -47 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028 to 2043: -37 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028 to 2043: -11 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028 to 2043: 8 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028 to 2043: 14 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028 to 2043: 6 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028 to 2043: 10 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028 to 2043: 12 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028 to 2043: 6 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028 to 2043: -4 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028 to 2043: 5 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028 to 2043: 10 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013 to 2028: 12 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013 to 2028: 41 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013 to 2028: 35 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013 to 2028: 38 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013 to 2028: 60 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013 to 2028: 72 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013 to 2028: 54 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013 to 2028: -12 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013 to 2028: -46 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013 to 2028: -91 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013 to 2028: -63 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013 to 2028: 1 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013 to 2028: 42 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013 to 2028: 33 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013 to 2028: -16 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013 to 2028: 4 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013 to 2028: -7 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013 to 2028: 17
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2016.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant age structure for persons in Lyall Bay was ages 40 to 44, which accounted for 9.4% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2013 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages 60 to 64, which is expected to increase by 72 and account for 5.8% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2028 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 220 persons.

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