Wellington CityPopulation forecast
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Mt Cook

Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Mt Cook indicate a 68.8% increase in population under working age, a 134.3% increase in population of retirement age, and a 33.2% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Wellington City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Mt Cook - Total persons201320282043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42023.03633.83873.7+185
5 to 91412.12162.32782.6+137
10 to 141251.82112.22862.7+162
15 to 1991913.61,13312.01,23211.6+312
20 to 241,90128.21,87819.92,16920.4+268
25 to 2995114.11,48415.71,57514.8+624
30 to 346499.61,25213.31,14810.8+499
35 to 394336.48418.98748.2+441
40 to 442954.44184.45595.3+264
45 to 492323.43013.24794.5+247
50 to 542513.72512.73733.5+123
55 to 591712.52302.42732.6+102
60 to 641942.91992.12242.1+30
65 to 691011.51932.11901.8+89
70 to 74891.31421.51691.6+81
75 to 79390.61341.41381.3+100
80 to 84270.4770.81231.2+96
85 and over240.41101.21351.3+110
Total persons6,745100.09,435100.010,614100.0+3,869

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2019.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2043: 135 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2043: 123 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2043: 138 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2043: 169 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2043: 190 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2043: 224 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2043: 273 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2043: 373 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2043: 479 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2043: 559 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2043: 874 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2043: 1,148 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2043: 1,575 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2043: 2,169 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2043: 1,232 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2043: 286 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2043: 278 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2043: 387 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028: 110 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028: 77 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028: 134 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028: 142 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028: 193 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028: 199 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028: 230 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028: 251 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028: 301 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028: 418 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028: 841 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028: 1,252 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028: 1,484 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028: 1,878 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028: 1,133 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028: 211 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028: 216 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028: 363 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013: 24 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013: 27 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013: 39 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013: 89 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013: 101 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013: 194 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013: 171 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013: 251 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013: 232 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013: 295 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013: 433 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013: 649 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013: 951 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013: 1,901 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013: 919 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013: 125 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013: 141 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013: 202
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2019.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028 to 2043: 24 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028 to 2043: 46 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028 to 2043: 4 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028 to 2043: 27 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028 to 2043: -3 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028 to 2043: 25 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028 to 2043: 43 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028 to 2043: 123 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028 to 2043: 178 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028 to 2043: 141 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028 to 2043: 33 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028 to 2043: -105 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028 to 2043: 91 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028 to 2043: 291 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028 to 2043: 98 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028 to 2043: 75 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028 to 2043: 62 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028 to 2043: 25 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013 to 2028: 86 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013 to 2028: 50 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013 to 2028: 96 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013 to 2028: 53 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013 to 2028: 92 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013 to 2028: 5 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013 to 2028: 59 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013 to 2028: 0 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013 to 2028: 69 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013 to 2028: 123 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013 to 2028: 408 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013 to 2028: 604 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013 to 2028: 533 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013 to 2028: -23 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013 to 2028: 214 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013 to 2028: 87 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013 to 2028: 75 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013 to 2028: 161
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2019.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant age structure for persons in Mt Cook was ages 20 to 24, which accounted for 28.2% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2013 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages 30 to 34, which is expected to increase by 604 and account for 13.3% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2028 is 20 to 24 years, with a total of 1,878 persons.

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