Wellington CityPopulation forecast
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Mt Cook

Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Mt Cook indicate a 56.0% increase in population under working age, a 129.3% increase in population of retirement age, and a 19.1% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Wellington City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Mt Cook - Total persons201320282043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42023.03343.93503.6+148
5 to 91412.12042.42502.6+109
10 to 141251.81922.32622.7+137
15 to 1991913.61,01411.91,16211.9+243
20 to 241,90128.21,58718.62,00720.5+106
25 to 2995114.11,30415.31,44714.8+496
30 to 346499.61,12613.21,04710.7+399
35 to 394336.47769.17898.1+356
40 to 442954.43944.65045.2+209
45 to 492323.42893.44354.4+202
50 to 542513.72402.83443.5+93
55 to 591712.52202.62552.6+84
60 to 641942.91902.22112.2+17
65 to 691011.51882.21791.8+78
70 to 74891.31381.61601.6+71
75 to 79390.61321.61311.3+92
80 to 84270.4750.91181.2+91
85 and over240.41091.31321.3+107
Total persons6,745100.08,513100.09,784100.0+3,039

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, July 2016.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2043: 132 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2043: 118 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2043: 131 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2043: 160 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2043: 179 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2043: 211 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2043: 255 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2043: 344 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2043: 435 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2043: 504 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2043: 789 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2043: 1,047 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2043: 1,447 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2043: 2,007 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2043: 1,162 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2043: 262 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2043: 250 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2043: 350 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028: 109 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028: 75 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028: 132 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028: 138 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028: 188 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028: 190 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028: 220 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028: 240 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028: 289 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028: 394 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028: 776 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028: 1,126 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028: 1,304 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028: 1,587 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028: 1,014 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028: 192 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028: 204 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028: 334 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013: 24 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013: 27 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013: 39 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013: 89 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013: 101 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013: 194 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013: 171 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013: 251 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013: 232 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013: 295 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013: 433 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013: 649 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013: 951 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013: 1,901 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013: 919 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013: 125 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013: 141 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013: 202
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2016.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028 to 2043: 23 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028 to 2043: 43 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028 to 2043: -1 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028 to 2043: 22 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028 to 2043: -9 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028 to 2043: 21 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028 to 2043: 35 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028 to 2043: 104 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028 to 2043: 146 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028 to 2043: 110 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028 to 2043: 13 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028 to 2043: -78 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028 to 2043: 143 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028 to 2043: 420 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028 to 2043: 148 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028 to 2043: 70 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028 to 2043: 46 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028 to 2043: 17 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013 to 2028: 85 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013 to 2028: 48 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013 to 2028: 93 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013 to 2028: 49 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013 to 2028: 86 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013 to 2028: -4 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013 to 2028: 49 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013 to 2028: -11 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013 to 2028: 57 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013 to 2028: 99 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013 to 2028: 343 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013 to 2028: 477 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013 to 2028: 353 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013 to 2028: -314 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013 to 2028: 95 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013 to 2028: 68 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013 to 2028: 63 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013 to 2028: 131
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2016.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant age structure for persons in Mt Cook was ages 20 to 24, which accounted for 28.2% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2013 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages 30 to 34, which is expected to increase by 477 and account for 13.2% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2028 is 20 to 24 years, with a total of 1,587 persons.

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