Wellington CityPopulation forecast
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Mt Victoria

Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Mt Victoria indicate a 41.6% increase in population under working age, a 84.8% increase in population of retirement age, and a 6.2% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Wellington City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Mt Victoria - Total persons201320282043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41603.12293.92253.6+65
5 to 91392.72023.41943.1+55
10 to 141312.51783.01782.9+47
15 to 191983.92794.73195.1+121
20 to 2483316.280113.689814.5+65
25 to 2999119.393915.91,03316.6+42
30 to 3461211.972712.376112.3+149
35 to 393907.65228.84978.0+107
40 to 443066.03666.23385.4+32
45 to 492785.42724.62894.7+12
50 to 542705.32303.92654.3-5
55 to 592204.32344.02504.0+31
60 to 642234.42183.72093.4-14
65 to 691683.32063.51832.9+15
70 to 74921.81702.91762.8+84
75 to 79651.31562.61572.5+92
80 to 84340.71041.81282.1+94
85 and over230.5701.21051.7+82
Total persons5,134100.05,905100.06,207100.0+1,073

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, July 2016.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2043: 105 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2043: 128 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2043: 157 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2043: 176 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2043: 183 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2043: 209 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2043: 250 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2043: 265 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2043: 289 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2043: 338 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2043: 497 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2043: 761 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2043: 1,033 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2043: 898 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2043: 319 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2043: 178 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2043: 194 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2043: 225 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028: 70 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028: 104 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028: 156 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028: 170 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028: 206 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028: 218 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028: 234 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028: 230 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028: 272 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028: 366 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028: 522 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028: 727 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028: 939 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028: 801 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028: 279 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028: 178 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028: 202 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028: 229 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013: 23 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013: 34 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013: 65 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013: 92 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013: 168 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013: 223 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013: 220 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013: 270 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013: 278 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013: 306 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013: 390 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013: 612 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013: 991 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013: 833 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013: 198 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013: 131 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013: 139 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013: 160
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2016.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028 to 2043: 35 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028 to 2043: 24 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028 to 2043: 1 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028 to 2043: 5 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028 to 2043: -23 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028 to 2043: -9 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028 to 2043: 17 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028 to 2043: 34 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028 to 2043: 18 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028 to 2043: -28 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028 to 2043: -26 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028 to 2043: 34 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028 to 2043: 94 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028 to 2043: 97 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028 to 2043: 40 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028 to 2043: -1 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028 to 2043: -8 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028 to 2043: -4 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013 to 2028: 47 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013 to 2028: 70 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013 to 2028: 91 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013 to 2028: 78 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013 to 2028: 38 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013 to 2028: -5 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013 to 2028: 14 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013 to 2028: -39 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013 to 2028: -6 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013 to 2028: 60 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013 to 2028: 132 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013 to 2028: 115 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013 to 2028: -52 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013 to 2028: -32 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013 to 2028: 81 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013 to 2028: 48 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013 to 2028: 63 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013 to 2028: 69
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2016.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant age structure for persons in Mt Victoria was ages 25 to 29, which accounted for 19.3% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2013 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages 35 to 39, which is expected to increase by 132 and account for 8.8% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2028 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 939 persons.

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