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Wellington CityPopulation forecast

Mt Victoria

Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Mt Victoria indicate a 43.0% increase in population under working age, a 85.6% increase in population of retirement age, and a 7.5% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Mt Victoria is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Mt Victoria - Total persons201320282043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41603.12313.92283.6+68
5 to 91392.72043.41963.1+57
10 to 141312.51803.01802.9+49
15 to 191983.92834.73225.1+124
20 to 2483316.281713.790614.5+74
25 to 2999119.395916.11,04316.6+52
30 to 3461211.973712.376912.3+157
35 to 393907.65258.85038.0+113
40 to 443066.03686.23435.5+37
45 to 492785.42734.62934.7+15
50 to 542705.32313.92674.3-3
55 to 592204.32353.92524.0+32
60 to 642234.42193.72113.4-13
65 to 691683.32073.51842.9+16
70 to 74921.81712.91772.8+85
75 to 79651.31562.61582.5+93
80 to 84340.71051.81292.1+95
85 and over230.5701.21051.7+82
Total persons5,134100.05,971100.06,266100.0+1,132
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2019.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant age structure for persons in Mt Victoria was ages 25 to 29, which accounted for 19.3% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2013 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages 35 to 39, which is expected to increase by 136 and account for 8.8% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2028 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 959 persons.

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