Wellington CityPopulation forecast
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Newlands - Ngauranga

Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Newlands - Ngauranga indicate a 15.3% decrease in population under working age, a 101.3% increase in population of retirement age, and a 16.0% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Wellington City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Newlands - Ngauranga - Total persons201320282043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 46588.75616.45676.3-91
5 to 94776.34044.64144.6-63
10 to 144536.03804.33664.1-87
15 to 195136.85996.85285.9+15
20 to 245176.88539.78429.4+326
25 to 295707.692710.694210.5+371
30 to 347249.68049.28189.1+94
35 to 396298.35836.66437.2+14
40 to 445977.94585.25045.6-92
45 to 496018.04955.64675.2-134
50 to 545006.64905.64294.8-70
55 to 593745.05035.74234.7+50
60 to 643174.24855.54485.0+131
65 to 692693.64054.64234.7+154
70 to 741542.03063.53904.4+237
75 to 79881.22402.73363.8+248
80 to 84600.81752.02452.7+185
85 and over430.61101.31721.9+129
Total persons7,543100.08,780100.08,958100.0+1,415

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, July 2016.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2043: 172 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2043: 245 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2043: 336 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2043: 390 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2043: 423 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2043: 448 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2043: 423 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2043: 429 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2043: 467 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2043: 504 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2043: 643 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2043: 818 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2043: 942 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2043: 842 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2043: 528 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2043: 366 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2043: 414 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2043: 567 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028: 110 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028: 175 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028: 240 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028: 306 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028: 405 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028: 485 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028: 503 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028: 490 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028: 495 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028: 458 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028: 583 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028: 804 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028: 927 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028: 853 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028: 599 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028: 380 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028: 404 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028: 561 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013: 43 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013: 60 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013: 88 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013: 154 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013: 269 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013: 317 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013: 374 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013: 500 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013: 601 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013: 597 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013: 629 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013: 724 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013: 570 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013: 517 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013: 513 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013: 453 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013: 477 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013: 658
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2016.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028 to 2043: 62 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028 to 2043: 70 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028 to 2043: 96 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028 to 2043: 84 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028 to 2043: 18 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028 to 2043: -37 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028 to 2043: -79 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028 to 2043: -60 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028 to 2043: -29 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028 to 2043: 47 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028 to 2043: 60 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028 to 2043: 15 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028 to 2043: 14 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028 to 2043: -11 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028 to 2043: -71 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028 to 2043: -15 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028 to 2043: 10 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028 to 2043: 5 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013 to 2028: 66 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013 to 2028: 115 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013 to 2028: 152 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013 to 2028: 153 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013 to 2028: 136 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013 to 2028: 169 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013 to 2028: 129 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013 to 2028: -10 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013 to 2028: -105 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013 to 2028: -139 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013 to 2028: -46 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013 to 2028: 80 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013 to 2028: 357 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013 to 2028: 337 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013 to 2028: 86 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013 to 2028: -72 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013 to 2028: -73 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013 to 2028: -97
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2016.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant age structure for persons in Newlands - Ngauranga was ages 30 to 34, which accounted for 9.6% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2013 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages 25 to 29, which is expected to increase by 357 and account for 10.6% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2028 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 927 persons.

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