Wellington CityPopulation forecast
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Northland - Wilton

Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Northland - Wilton indicate a 42.3% decrease in population under working age, a 74.6% increase in population of retirement age, and a 2.2% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Wellington City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Northland - Wilton - Total persons201320282043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 43115.62374.22644.5-47
5 to 93165.61582.81893.3-127
10 to 143165.61492.61532.6-163
15 to 193746.73245.72995.1-75
20 to 2456810.274513.176013.1+192
25 to 294838.673813.075713.0+274
30 to 344608.25459.658310.0+123
35 to 394337.73716.54367.5+2
40 to 444488.02734.83285.6-121
45 to 494377.82925.23005.2-138
50 to 543886.93095.42684.6-120
55 to 592815.03265.82474.2-34
60 to 642744.93155.62494.3-26
65 to 691913.42794.92424.2+50
70 to 741132.02123.72364.1+123
75 to 79781.41883.32143.7+136
80 to 84591.01212.11682.9+110
85 and over661.2851.51232.1+57
Total persons5,597100.05,666100.05,815100.0+217

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, July 2016.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2043: 123 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2043: 168 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2043: 214 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2043: 236 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2043: 242 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2043: 249 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2043: 247 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2043: 268 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2043: 300 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2043: 328 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2043: 436 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2043: 583 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2043: 757 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2043: 760 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2043: 299 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2043: 153 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2043: 189 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2043: 264 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028: 85 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028: 121 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028: 188 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028: 212 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028: 279 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028: 315 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028: 326 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028: 309 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028: 292 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028: 273 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028: 371 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028: 545 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028: 738 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028: 745 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028: 324 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028: 149 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028: 158 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028: 237 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013: 66 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013: 59 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013: 78 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013: 113 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013: 191 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013: 274 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013: 281 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013: 388 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013: 437 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013: 448 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013: 433 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013: 460 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013: 483 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013: 568 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013: 374 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013: 316 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013: 316 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013: 311
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2016.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028 to 2043: 37 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028 to 2043: 48 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028 to 2043: 25 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028 to 2043: 24 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028 to 2043: -37 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028 to 2043: -66 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028 to 2043: -79 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028 to 2043: -41 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028 to 2043: 8 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028 to 2043: 55 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028 to 2043: 65 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028 to 2043: 38 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028 to 2043: 19 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028 to 2043: 15 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028 to 2043: -25 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028 to 2043: 3 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028 to 2043: 31 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028 to 2043: 27 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013 to 2028: 20 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013 to 2028: 62 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013 to 2028: 110 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013 to 2028: 98 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013 to 2028: 88 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013 to 2028: 40 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013 to 2028: 45 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013 to 2028: -79 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013 to 2028: -145 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013 to 2028: -176 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013 to 2028: -63 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013 to 2028: 85 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013 to 2028: 255 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013 to 2028: 176 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013 to 2028: -49 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013 to 2028: -166 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013 to 2028: -158 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013 to 2028: -74
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2016.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant age structure for persons in Northland - Wilton was ages 20 to 24, which accounted for 10.2% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2013 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages 25 to 29, which is expected to increase by 255 and account for 13.0% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2028 is 20 to 24 years, with a total of 745 persons.

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