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Roseneath - Oriental Bay

Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Roseneath - Oriental Bay indicate a 9.4% decrease in population under working age, a 49.1% increase in population of retirement age, and a 11.1% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Wellington City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Roseneath - Oriental Bay - Total persons201320282043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 963.11143.11343.5+37
5 to 9 1023.2852.3942.5-8
10 to 14 1113.5812.2902.3-21
15 to 19 1093.51865.11985.2+89
20 to 24 2417.641711.443811.5+197
25 to 29 39712.648713.451813.6+121
30 to 34 37211.836910.141010.7+38
35 to 39 2046.52506.92917.6+88
40 to 44 1906.01895.22075.4+17
45 to 49 1886.01784.91794.7-9
50 to 54 2046.51494.11634.3-41
55 to 59 1996.31674.61674.4-32
60 to 64 2126.71825.01794.7-33
65 to 69 2086.61935.31694.4-39
70 to 74 1454.61865.11714.5+26
75 to 79 772.41724.71594.2+81
80 to 84 571.81393.81363.6+79
85 and over431.41002.81153.0+71
Total persons3,156100.03,644100.03,818100.0+662

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, July 2016.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2043: 115 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2043: 136 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2043: 159 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2043: 171 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2043: 169 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2043: 179 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2043: 167 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2043: 163 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2043: 179 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2043: 207 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2043: 291 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2043: 410 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2043: 518 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2043: 438 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2043: 198 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2043: 90 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2043: 94 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2043: 134 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028: 100 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028: 139 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028: 172 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028: 186 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028: 193 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028: 182 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028: 167 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028: 149 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028: 178 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028: 189 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028: 250 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028: 369 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028: 487 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028: 417 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028: 186 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028: 81 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028: 85 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028: 114 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013: 43 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013: 57 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013: 77 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013: 145 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013: 208 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013: 212 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013: 199 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013: 204 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013: 188 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013: 190 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013: 204 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013: 372 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013: 397 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013: 241 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013: 109 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013: 111 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013: 102 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013: 96
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2016.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028 to 2043: 14 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028 to 2043: -3 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028 to 2043: -14 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028 to 2043: -15 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028 to 2043: -24 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028 to 2043: -3 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028 to 2043: 0 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028 to 2043: 15 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028 to 2043: 1 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028 to 2043: 18 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028 to 2043: 42 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028 to 2043: 41 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028 to 2043: 31 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028 to 2043: 21 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028 to 2043: 13 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028 to 2043: 8 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028 to 2043: 9 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028 to 2043: 20 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013 to 2028: 57 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013 to 2028: 82 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013 to 2028: 95 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013 to 2028: 41 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013 to 2028: -15 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013 to 2028: -30 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013 to 2028: -32 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013 to 2028: -55 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013 to 2028: -10 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013 to 2028: -2 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013 to 2028: 46 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013 to 2028: -3 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013 to 2028: 90 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013 to 2028: 176 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013 to 2028: 77 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013 to 2028: -30 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013 to 2028: -17 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013 to 2028: 18
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2016.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant age structure for persons in Roseneath - Oriental Bay was ages 25 to 29 , which accounted for 12.6% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2013 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages 20 to 24 , which is expected to increase by 176 and account for 11.4% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2028 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 487 persons.

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