Wellington CityPopulation forecast
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Tawa - Grenada North - Takapu Valley

Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Tawa - Grenada North - Takapu Valley indicate a 13.9% increase in population under working age, a 53.8% increase in population of retirement age, and a 2.1% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Wellington City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Tawa - Grenada North - Takapu Valley - Total persons201320282043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41,0166.91,0966.81,2786.9+263
5 to 91,0357.01,2467.81,4567.8+421
10 to 141,0807.31,2237.61,4127.6+332
15 to 191,1717.91,0256.41,1926.4+21
20 to 249496.47254.58844.7-65
25 to 297695.27424.68674.7+98
30 to 349176.29746.11,0915.9+174
35 to 399846.61,1577.21,3417.2+357
40 to 441,1567.81,1807.41,4187.6+262
45 to 491,2078.21,1557.21,3637.3+156
50 to 541,0547.19596.01,1376.1+83
55 to 598876.08705.49565.1+68
60 to 647114.88125.18264.4+115
65 to 695443.77344.67233.9+179
70 to 743962.76414.06693.6+273
75 to 793272.25463.46393.4+312
80 to 842421.64222.65723.1+330
85 and over3512.45173.28074.3+456
Total persons14,796100.016,024100.018,632100.0+3,835

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, July 2016.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2043: 807 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2043: 572 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2043: 639 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2043: 669 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2043: 723 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2043: 826 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2043: 956 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2043: 1,137 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2043: 1,363 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2043: 1,418 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2043: 1,341 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2043: 1,091 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2043: 867 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2043: 884 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2043: 1,192 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2043: 1,412 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2043: 1,456 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2043: 1,278 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028: 517 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028: 422 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028: 546 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028: 641 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028: 734 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028: 812 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028: 870 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028: 959 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028: 1,155 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028: 1,180 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028: 1,157 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028: 974 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028: 742 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028: 725 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028: 1,025 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028: 1,223 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028: 1,246 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028: 1,096 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013: 351 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013: 242 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013: 327 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013: 396 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013: 544 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013: 711 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013: 887 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013: 1,054 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013: 1,207 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013: 1,156 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013: 984 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013: 917 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013: 769 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013: 949 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013: 1,171 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013: 1,080 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013: 1,035 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013: 1,016
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2016.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028 to 2043: 290 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028 to 2043: 150 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028 to 2043: 94 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028 to 2043: 28 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028 to 2043: -11 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028 to 2043: 14 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028 to 2043: 86 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028 to 2043: 178 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028 to 2043: 208 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028 to 2043: 238 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028 to 2043: 184 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028 to 2043: 117 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028 to 2043: 125 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028 to 2043: 159 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028 to 2043: 167 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028 to 2043: 189 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028 to 2043: 210 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028 to 2043: 182 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013 to 2028: 166 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013 to 2028: 180 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013 to 2028: 218 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013 to 2028: 246 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013 to 2028: 190 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013 to 2028: 101 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013 to 2028: -17 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013 to 2028: -95 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013 to 2028: -52 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013 to 2028: 24 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013 to 2028: 173 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013 to 2028: 57 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013 to 2028: -27 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013 to 2028: -224 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013 to 2028: -146 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013 to 2028: 143 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013 to 2028: 211 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013 to 2028: 80
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2016.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant age structure for persons in Tawa - Grenada North - Takapu Valley was ages 45 to 49, which accounted for 8.2% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2013 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages 70 to 74, which is expected to increase by 246 and account for 4.0% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2028 is 5 to 9 years, with a total of 1,246 persons.

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