Wellington CityPopulation forecast
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Tawa - Grenada North - Takapu Valley

Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Tawa - Grenada North - Takapu Valley indicate a 13.7% increase in population under working age, a 53.7% increase in population of retirement age, and a 2.3% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Wellington City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Tawa - Grenada North - Takapu Valley - Total persons201320282043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41,0166.91,0956.81,2436.8+228
5 to 91,0357.01,2447.81,4157.8+380
10 to 141,0807.31,2207.61,3747.5+294
15 to 191,1717.91,0226.41,1656.4-6
20 to 249496.47234.58694.8-80
25 to 297695.27424.68494.7+80
30 to 349176.29736.11,0615.8+144
35 to 399846.61,1557.21,3027.1+319
40 to 441,1567.81,1787.41,3787.6+221
45 to 491,2078.21,1527.21,3287.3+122
50 to 541,0547.19576.01,1166.1+62
55 to 598876.08695.49435.2+56
60 to 647114.88115.18164.5+106
65 to 695443.77334.67153.9+171
70 to 743962.76414.06623.6+266
75 to 793272.25453.46333.5+306
80 to 842421.64222.65673.1+325
85 and over3512.45173.28004.4+448
Total persons14,796100.015,999100.018,238100.0+3,441

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2019.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2043: 800 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2043: 567 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2043: 633 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2043: 662 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2043: 715 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2043: 816 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2043: 943 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2043: 1,116 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2043: 1,328 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2043: 1,378 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2043: 1,302 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2043: 1,061 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2043: 849 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2043: 869 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2043: 1,165 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2043: 1,374 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2043: 1,415 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2043: 1,243 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028: 517 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028: 422 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028: 545 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028: 641 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028: 733 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028: 811 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028: 869 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028: 957 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028: 1,152 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028: 1,178 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028: 1,155 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028: 973 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028: 742 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028: 723 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028: 1,022 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028: 1,220 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028: 1,244 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028: 1,095 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013: 351 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013: 242 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013: 327 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013: 396 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013: 544 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013: 711 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013: 887 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013: 1,054 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013: 1,207 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013: 1,156 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013: 984 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013: 917 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013: 769 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013: 949 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013: 1,171 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013: 1,080 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013: 1,035 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013: 1,016
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2019.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028 to 2043: 283 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028 to 2043: 145 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028 to 2043: 88 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028 to 2043: 21 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028 to 2043: -18 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028 to 2043: 5 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028 to 2043: 74 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028 to 2043: 159 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028 to 2043: 177 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028 to 2043: 200 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028 to 2043: 147 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028 to 2043: 88 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028 to 2043: 108 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028 to 2043: 145 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028 to 2043: 143 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028 to 2043: 154 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028 to 2043: 172 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028 to 2043: 149 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013 to 2028: 165 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013 to 2028: 180 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013 to 2028: 218 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013 to 2028: 245 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013 to 2028: 189 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013 to 2028: 100 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013 to 2028: -18 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013 to 2028: -97 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013 to 2028: -55 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013 to 2028: 22 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013 to 2028: 172 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013 to 2028: 56 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013 to 2028: -28 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013 to 2028: -226 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013 to 2028: -149 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013 to 2028: 140 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013 to 2028: 209 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013 to 2028: 79
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2019.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant age structure for persons in Tawa - Grenada North - Takapu Valley was ages 45 to 49, which accounted for 8.2% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2013 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages 70 to 74, which is expected to increase by 245 and account for 4.0% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2028 is 5 to 9 years, with a total of 1,244 persons.

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