Wellington CityPopulation forecast
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Te Aro

Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Te Aro indicate a 274.3% increase in population under working age, a 202.2% increase in population of retirement age, and a 50.7% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Wellington City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Te Aro - Total persons201320282043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41621.65443.36223.2+460
5 to 9830.83882.34862.5+403
10 to 141131.14082.55532.8+440
15 to 191,07210.71,65410.01,9039.8+831
20 to 242,74027.33,23419.63,47117.9+731
25 to 291,92619.22,76116.72,83214.6+906
30 to 341,20012.01,82211.01,96410.1+765
35 to 396066.01,2907.81,4387.4+832
40 to 444074.18795.31,0945.6+687
45 to 493783.87184.39574.9+579
50 to 543613.65693.48484.4+486
55 to 593133.15253.27443.8+432
60 to 642522.54933.06543.4+402
65 to 691901.94332.65422.8+351
70 to 741021.03372.04562.4+355
75 to 79570.62401.53792.0+321
80 to 84410.41490.92781.4+237
85 and over240.2920.61951.0+171
Total persons10,028100.016,536100.019,416100.0+9,388

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, July 2016.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2043: 195 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2043: 278 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2043: 379 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2043: 456 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2043: 542 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2043: 654 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2043: 744 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2043: 848 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2043: 957 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2043: 1,094 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2043: 1,438 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2043: 1,964 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2043: 2,832 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2043: 3,471 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2043: 1,903 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2043: 553 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2043: 486 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2043: 622 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028: 92 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028: 149 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028: 240 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028: 337 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028: 433 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028: 493 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028: 525 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028: 569 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028: 718 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028: 879 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028: 1,290 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028: 1,822 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028: 2,761 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028: 3,234 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028: 1,654 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028: 408 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028: 388 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028: 544 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013: 24 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013: 41 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013: 57 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013: 102 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013: 190 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013: 252 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013: 313 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013: 361 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013: 378 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013: 407 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013: 606 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013: 1,200 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013: 1,926 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013: 2,740 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013: 1,072 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013: 113 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013: 83 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013: 162
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2016.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028 to 2043: 103 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028 to 2043: 129 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028 to 2043: 139 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028 to 2043: 119 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028 to 2043: 108 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028 to 2043: 160 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028 to 2043: 219 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028 to 2043: 279 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028 to 2043: 239 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028 to 2043: 215 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028 to 2043: 148 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028 to 2043: 143 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028 to 2043: 71 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028 to 2043: 237 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028 to 2043: 249 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028 to 2043: 145 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028 to 2043: 98 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028 to 2043: 78 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013 to 2028: 68 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013 to 2028: 107 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013 to 2028: 183 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013 to 2028: 235 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013 to 2028: 243 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013 to 2028: 241 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013 to 2028: 212 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013 to 2028: 207 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013 to 2028: 339 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013 to 2028: 472 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013 to 2028: 684 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013 to 2028: 622 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013 to 2028: 835 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013 to 2028: 494 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013 to 2028: 582 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013 to 2028: 295 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013 to 2028: 305 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013 to 2028: 383
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2016.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant age structure for persons in Te Aro was ages 20 to 24, which accounted for 27.3% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2013 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages 25 to 29, which is expected to increase by 835 and account for 16.7% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2028 is 20 to 24 years, with a total of 3,234 persons.

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