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Wellington CityPopulation forecast

Te Aro

Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Te Aro indicate a 235.2% increase in population under working age, a 182.6% increase in population of retirement age, and a 33.3% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Te Aro is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Te Aro - Total persons201320282043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41621.64863.35363.1+375
5 to 9830.83512.44202.4+336
10 to 141131.13632.54862.8+373
15 to 191,07210.71,49510.21,75510.2+684
20 to 242,74027.32,78218.93,10918.1+369
25 to 291,92619.22,38716.22,50314.6+577
30 to 341,20012.01,60410.91,7049.9+504
35 to 396066.01,1657.91,2447.2+637
40 to 444074.18005.49475.5+540
45 to 493783.86564.58334.9+455
50 to 543613.65173.57454.3+384
55 to 593133.14783.36593.8+346
60 to 642522.54513.15813.4+329
65 to 691901.94012.74792.8+289
70 to 741021.03152.14052.4+303
75 to 79570.62271.53392.0+281
80 to 84410.41411.02521.5+211
85 and over240.2860.61791.0+155
Total persons10,028100.014,707100.017,176100.0+7,148
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id (informed decisions), December 2020.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant age structure for persons in Te Aro was ages 20 to 24, which accounted for 27.3% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2013 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages 35 to 39, which is expected to increase by 559 and account for 7.9% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2028 is 20 to 24 years, with a total of 2,782 persons.

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