Wellington CityPopulation forecast
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Thorndon - Pipitea

Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Thorndon - Pipitea indicate a 24.5% increase in population under working age, a 86.2% increase in population of retirement age, and a 7.2% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Wellington City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Thorndon - Pipitea - Total persons201320282043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41262.81663.21813.0+55
5 to 91062.41342.61332.2+27
10 to 141272.81472.81622.7+36
15 to 192134.83476.74397.4+226
20 to 2466214.872613.990515.2+243
25 to 2971015.967112.980113.4+91
30 to 3451011.44658.95499.2+39
35 to 393297.43677.03986.7+69
40 to 442515.63105.93025.1+51
45 to 492806.32825.42874.8+7
50 to 542645.92494.82794.7+15
55 to 592415.42484.82844.8+43
60 to 642024.52625.02714.5+70
65 to 691753.92444.72454.1+70
70 to 741042.32104.02223.7+118
75 to 79621.41683.22073.5+145
80 to 84511.11252.41662.8+115
85 and over561.3871.71352.3+78
Total persons4,469100.05,209100.05,967100.0+1,498

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, July 2016.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2043: 135 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2043: 166 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2043: 207 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2043: 222 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2043: 245 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2043: 271 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2043: 284 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2043: 279 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2043: 287 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2043: 302 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2043: 398 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2043: 549 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2043: 801 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2043: 905 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2043: 439 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2043: 162 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2043: 133 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2043: 181 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028: 87 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028: 125 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028: 168 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028: 210 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028: 244 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028: 262 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028: 248 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028: 249 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028: 282 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028: 310 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028: 367 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028: 465 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028: 671 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028: 726 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028: 347 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028: 147 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028: 134 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028: 166 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013: 56 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013: 51 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013: 62 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013: 104 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013: 175 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013: 202 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013: 241 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013: 264 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013: 280 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013: 251 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013: 329 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013: 510 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013: 710 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013: 662 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013: 213 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013: 127 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013: 106 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013: 126
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2016.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028 to 2043: 47 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028 to 2043: 41 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028 to 2043: 38 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028 to 2043: 12 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028 to 2043: 1 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028 to 2043: 10 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028 to 2043: 36 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028 to 2043: 30 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028 to 2043: 6 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028 to 2043: -8 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028 to 2043: 31 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028 to 2043: 84 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028 to 2043: 130 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028 to 2043: 179 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028 to 2043: 93 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028 to 2043: 15 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028 to 2043: -1 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028 to 2043: 15 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013 to 2028: 31 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013 to 2028: 74 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013 to 2028: 107 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013 to 2028: 106 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013 to 2028: 68 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013 to 2028: 60 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013 to 2028: 7 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013 to 2028: -15 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013 to 2028: 2 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013 to 2028: 59 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013 to 2028: 38 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013 to 2028: -45 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013 to 2028: -39 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013 to 2028: 64 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013 to 2028: 134 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013 to 2028: 21 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013 to 2028: 29 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013 to 2028: 40
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2016.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant age structure for persons in Thorndon - Pipitea was ages 25 to 29, which accounted for 15.9% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2013 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages 15 to 19, which is expected to increase by 134 and account for 6.7% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2028 is 20 to 24 years, with a total of 726 persons.

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