Wellington CityPopulation forecast
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Wellington Central

Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Wellington Central indicate a 397.9% increase in population under working age, a 189.0% increase in population of retirement age, and a 75.6% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Wellington City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Wellington Central - Total persons201320282043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4481.52363.83334.1+285
5 to 9190.61292.11992.5+180
10 to 14270.81031.71662.1+139
15 to 1968821.01,40822.61,61520.1+927
20 to 2484825.91,43423.11,64520.5+797
25 to 2950215.381813.21,05413.1+552
30 to 3433110.14567.36778.4+346
35 to 391725.33285.34575.7+284
40 to 441033.12183.52963.7+194
45 to 49932.81963.12513.1+158
50 to 541093.31672.72413.0+132
55 to 59983.01582.52322.9+134
60 to 64922.81472.42182.7+126
65 to 69581.81352.21862.3+128
70 to 74351.11071.71572.0+123
75 to 79210.6861.41301.6+109
80 to 84250.8550.91031.3+78
85 and over70.2390.6750.9+68
Total persons3,277100.06,221100.08,037100.0+4,760

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, July 2016.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2043: 75 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2043: 103 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2043: 130 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2043: 157 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2043: 186 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2043: 218 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2043: 232 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2043: 241 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2043: 251 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2043: 296 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2043: 457 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2043: 677 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2043: 1,054 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2043: 1,645 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2043: 1,615 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2043: 166 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2043: 199 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2043: 333 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028: 39 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028: 55 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028: 86 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028: 107 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028: 135 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028: 147 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028: 158 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028: 167 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028: 196 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028: 218 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028: 328 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028: 456 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028: 818 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028: 1,434 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028: 1,408 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028: 103 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028: 129 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028: 236 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013: 7 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013: 25 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013: 21 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013: 35 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013: 58 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013: 92 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013: 98 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013: 109 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013: 93 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013: 103 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013: 172 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013: 331 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013: 502 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013: 848 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013: 688 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013: 27 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013: 19 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013: 48
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2016.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028 to 2043: 36 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028 to 2043: 48 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028 to 2043: 43 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028 to 2043: 50 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028 to 2043: 51 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028 to 2043: 72 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028 to 2043: 74 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028 to 2043: 74 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028 to 2043: 56 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028 to 2043: 79 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028 to 2043: 128 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028 to 2043: 221 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028 to 2043: 235 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028 to 2043: 211 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028 to 2043: 206 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028 to 2043: 63 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028 to 2043: 71 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028 to 2043: 98 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013 to 2028: 32 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013 to 2028: 30 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013 to 2028: 66 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013 to 2028: 73 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013 to 2028: 77 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013 to 2028: 55 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013 to 2028: 60 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013 to 2028: 58 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013 to 2028: 102 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013 to 2028: 115 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013 to 2028: 156 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013 to 2028: 125 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013 to 2028: 316 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013 to 2028: 586 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013 to 2028: 721 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013 to 2028: 76 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013 to 2028: 109 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013 to 2028: 188
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2016.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant age structure for persons in Wellington Central was ages 20 to 24, which accounted for 25.9% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2013 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages 15 to 19, which is expected to increase by 721 and account for 22.6% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2028 is 20 to 24 years, with a total of 1,434 persons.

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