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Wellington CityPopulation forecast

Wellington Central

Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Wellington Central indicate a 342.6% increase in population under working age, a 164.4% increase in population of retirement age, and a 55.1% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Wellington Central is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Wellington Central - Total persons201320282043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4481.52043.72944.0+246
5 to 9190.61172.11732.4+154
10 to 14270.8951.71462.0+119
15 to 1968821.01,32023.91,54721.0+859
20 to 2484825.91,24422.61,53020.8+682
25 to 2950215.367812.395913.0+457
30 to 3433110.13887.06118.3+279
35 to 391725.32925.34055.5+233
40 to 441033.11953.52603.5+157
45 to 49932.81763.22223.0+129
50 to 541093.31482.72162.9+107
55 to 59983.01392.52092.8+111
60 to 64922.81302.41972.7+104
65 to 69581.81222.21662.3+108
70 to 74351.1981.81401.9+105
75 to 79210.6801.51151.6+95
80 to 84250.8510.9931.3+68
85 and over70.2350.6680.9+62
Total persons3,277100.05,512100.07,351100.0+4,074
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id (informed decisions), December 2020.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant age structure for persons in Wellington Central was ages 20 to 24, which accounted for 25.9% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2013 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages 15 to 19, which is expected to increase by 632 and account for 23.9% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2028 is 15 to 19 years, with a total of 1,320 persons.

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