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Wellington CityPopulation forecast

Wellington Central

Population and age structure

Between 2024 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Wellington Central indicate a 26.1% increase in population under working age, a 20.6% increase in population of retirement age, and a 12.6% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Wellington Central is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Wellington Central - Total persons202420282043Change between 2024 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41783.72043.72944.0+116
5 to 9941.91172.11732.4+79
10 to 14581.2951.71462.0+89
15 to 191,28526.61,32023.91,54721.0+262
20 to 241,04121.61,24422.61,53020.8+489
25 to 2950410.467812.395913.0+455
30 to 343837.93887.06118.3+228
35 to 392715.62925.34055.5+134
40 to 441813.81953.52603.5+78
45 to 491433.01763.22223.0+79
50 to 541232.51482.72162.9+93
55 to 591222.51392.52092.8+87
60 to 641292.71302.41972.7+68
65 to 691042.11222.21662.3+62
70 to 74881.8981.81401.9+52
75 to 79601.2801.51151.6+55
80 to 84410.8510.9931.3+52
85 and over270.6350.6680.9+41
Total persons4,831100.05,512100.07,351100.0+2,519
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id (informed decisions), December 2020.

Key findings

In 2024, the dominant age structure for persons in Wellington Central was ages 15 to 19, which accounted for 26.6% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2024 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages 20 to 24, which is expected to increase by 203 and account for 22.6% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2028 is 15 to 19 years, with a total of 1,320 persons.

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