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Wellington CityPopulation forecast

Churton Park - Glenside

Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Churton Park - Glenside indicate a 21.2% increase in population under working age, a 169.2% increase in population of retirement age, and a 25.3% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Churton Park - Glenside is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Churton Park - Glenside - Total persons201320282043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 44616.75165.45055.0+44
5 to 95157.56276.65865.8+71
10 to 144857.06286.65885.8+103
15 to 194857.16266.66206.2+135
20 to 244256.25585.95645.6+139
25 to 293495.14054.34164.1+67
30 to 344256.23753.93753.7-50
35 to 394656.84344.64234.2-42
40 to 446118.95325.65055.0-107
45 to 496299.17087.46336.3+4
50 to 545748.47708.17077.0+132
55 to 594306.38048.57397.3+309
60 to 643545.17377.77587.5+404
65 to 692323.46046.37087.0+475
70 to 741622.44444.76596.5+496
75 to 791051.53383.65555.5+450
80 to 84650.92102.24014.0+336
85 and over1021.51972.13173.2+215
Total persons6,874100.09,513100.010,057100.0+3,183
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id (informed decisions), December 2020.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant age structure for persons in Churton Park - Glenside was ages 45 to 49, which accounted for 9.1% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2013 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages 60 to 64, which is expected to increase by 383 and account for 7.7% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2028 is 55 to 59 years, with a total of 804 persons.

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