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Wellington CityPopulation forecast


Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Hataitai indicate a 3.5% increase in population under working age, a 165.3% increase in population of retirement age, and a 7.1% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Hataitai is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Hataitai - Total persons201320282043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 43886.03635.33204.6-68
5 to 94146.44296.23344.8-79
10 to 143295.13795.53074.5-22
15 to 192924.53595.23755.4+82
20 to 2466510.35798.468910.0+24
25 to 2969110.75047.35818.4-111
30 to 3465310.13424.93785.5-275
35 to 395258.13425.02934.2-232
40 to 445368.34236.13054.4-230
45 to 494837.55047.33635.3-120
50 to 544517.05137.44226.1-29
55 to 593495.45317.74676.8+118
60 to 642654.14656.74696.8+204
65 to 691782.73985.84286.2+251
70 to 741302.03074.44045.9+274
75 to 79871.32283.33394.9+252
80 to 84460.71382.02543.7+208
85 and over00.0991.41782.6+178
Total persons6,482100.06,902100.06,906100.0+425
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id (informed decisions), December 2020.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant age structure for persons in Hataitai was ages 25 to 29, which accounted for 10.7% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2013 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages 65 to 69, which is expected to increase by 220 and account for 5.8% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2028 is 20 to 24 years, with a total of 579 persons.

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