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Wellington CityPopulation forecast

Kilbirnie - Rongotai - Moa Point

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Kilbirnie - Rongotai - Moa Point is forecast to grow from 2,168 in 2013 to 2,915 in 2043, with the average household size falling from 2.44 to 2.37 by 2043.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Kilbirnie - Rongotai - Moa Point. The period 2013 to 2028, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Kilbirnie - Rongotai - Moa PointForecast year
Summary2013201820232028203320382043
Population5,1245,2865,4695,6096,0796,5756,952
Change in population (5yrs)--161183140470496377
Average annual change--0.62%0.68%0.51%1.62%1.58%1.12%
Households2,0672,1192,2092,3272,5212,7292,877
Average household size2.442.452.422.362.362.362.37
Population in non private dwellings9191127127127127127
Dwellings2,1682,1742,2332,3452,5452,7602,915
Dwelling occupancy rate95.3497.4798.9399.2399.0698.8898.70
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id (informed decisions), December 2020.

Key findings

In 2013, the total population of Kilbirnie - Rongotai - Moa Point was estimated to be 5,124 people. It is expected to increase by over 485 people to 5,609 by 2028, at an average annual growth rate of 0.60%. This is based on an increase of over 260 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.44 to 2.36 by 2028.

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