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Wellington CityPopulation forecast

Island Bay - Owhiro Bay

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Island Bay - Owhiro Bay is forecast to grow from 3,250 in 2013 to 3,787 in 2043, with the average household size falling from 2.76 to 2.55 by 2043.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Island Bay - Owhiro Bay. The period 2013 to 2028, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Island Bay - Owhiro BayForecast year
Summary2013201820232028203320382043
Population8,7919,0609,3989,5519,5599,5679,622
Change in population (5yrs)--2693381538855
Average annual change--0.60%0.74%0.32%0.02%0.02%0.11%
Households3,1613,3063,4963,6363,6843,7253,754
Average household size2.762.722.672.612.582.552.55
Population in non private dwellings66666666666666
Dwellings3,2503,3413,5103,6483,7013,7503,787
Dwelling occupancy rate97.2698.9599.6099.6799.5499.3399.13
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2019.

Key findings

In 2013, the total population of Island Bay - Owhiro Bay was estimated to be 8,791 people. It is expected to increase by over 760 people to 9,551 by 2028, at an average annual growth rate of 0.55%. This is based on an increase of over 475 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.76 to 2.61 by 2028.

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