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Wellington CityPopulation forecast

Kelburn

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Kelburn is forecast to grow from 1,464 in 2013 to 1,589 in 2031, with the average household size falling from 2.67 to 2.61 by 2031.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Kelburn. The period 2013 to 2028, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
KelburnForecast year
Summary2013201820232028203320382043
Population4,4534,7044,8554,9654,9924,9415,034
Change in population (5yrs)--25115011126-5194
Average annual change--1.10%0.63%0.45%0.11%-0.21%0.38%
Households1,3641,4711,5331,5671,5951,6311,665
Average household size2.672.642.602.612.582.492.50
Population in non private dwellings816816876876876876876
Dwellings1,4641,5141,5531,5891,6241,6591,694
Dwelling occupancy rate93.1797.1698.7198.6298.2198.3198.29
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2019.

Key findings

In 2013, the total population of Kelburn was estimated to be 4,453 people. It is expected to increase by over 512 people to 4,965 by 2028, at an average annual growth rate of 0.73%. This is based on an increase of over 203 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.67 to 2.61 by 2028.

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