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Wellington CityPopulation forecast

Lyall Bay

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Lyall Bay is forecast to grow from 1,109 in 2013 to 1,186 in 2043, with the average household size rising from 2.48 to 2.50 by 2043.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Lyall Bay. The period 2013 to 2028, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Lyall BayForecast year
Summary2013201820232028203320382043
Population2,6912,8142,8562,8672,9002,9182,950
Change in population (5yrs)--1224210341832
Average annual change--0.89%0.30%0.07%0.23%0.12%0.22%
Households1,0791,1201,1301,1451,1531,1611,174
Average household size2.482.502.512.492.502.502.50
Population in non private dwellings19191919191919
Dwellings1,1091,1321,1421,1521,1621,1721,186
Dwelling occupancy rate97.2998.9498.9599.3999.2399.0698.99
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2019.

Key findings

In 2013, the total population of Lyall Bay was estimated to be 2,691 people. It is expected to increase by over 176 people to 2,867 by 2028, at an average annual growth rate of 0.42%. This is based on an increase of over 66 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household rising from 2.48 to 2.49 by 2028.

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