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Wellington CityPopulation forecast

Seatoun - Karaka Bays - Breaker Bay

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Seatoun - Karaka Bays - Breaker Bay is forecast to grow from 1,465 in 2013 to 1,681 in 2043, with the average household size falling from 2.75 to 2.46 by 2043.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Seatoun - Karaka Bays - Breaker Bay. The period 2013 to 2028, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Seatoun - Karaka Bays - Breaker BayForecast year
Change in population (5yrs)--20759-5212147
Average annual change--1.07%0.29%-0.26%0.00%0.10%0.23%
Average household size2.752.682.612.532.492.462.46
Population in non private dwellings0000000
Dwelling occupancy rate94.3398.5598.9898.9498.9698.9798.93
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2019.

Key findings

In 2013, the total population of Seatoun - Karaka Bays - Breaker Bay was estimated to be 3,802 people. It is expected to increase by over 214 people to 4,016 by 2028, at an average annual growth rate of 0.37%. This is based on an increase of over 207 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.75 to 2.53 by 2028.

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