Wellington CityPopulation forecast
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Mt Cook

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Mt Cook will increase by an average of 36 dwellings per annum to 3,706 in 2043.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Wellington City. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

2013-2016 dwelling additions are based on an assessment of major site activity and building approvals, lagged by 12-18 months. Assumptions concerning development over the forecast period include:

  • 26 Wright Street - 11 dwellings (2014)
  • Nuovo Apartments - 53 dwellings (2014-2015)
  • Detroit Apartments (181 Tasman Street) - 39 dwellings (2016)
  • Vedado Apartments - 32 dwellings (2017)
  • Arlington Site 2 (Hankey/Hopper Street) - 48 dwellings (2017-2018)
  • 28 Hanson Street - 19 dwellings (2023)
  • Small sites - 3 dwellings
  • Low-high level of infill development (9-21 dwellings per annum)
  • Low-high level of activity centre development (5-25 dwellings per annum)
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2043 Total dwellings: 3,706 2042 Total dwellings: 3,669 2041 Total dwellings: 3,632 2040 Total dwellings: 3,595 2039 Total dwellings: 3,558 2038 Total dwellings: 3,523 2037 Total dwellings: 3,488 2036 Total dwellings: 3,453 2035 Total dwellings: 3,418 2034 Total dwellings: 3,383 2033 Total dwellings: 3,348 2032 Total dwellings: 3,313 2031 Total dwellings: 3,278 2030 Total dwellings: 3,243 2029 Total dwellings: 3,208 2028 Total dwellings: 3,173 2027 Total dwellings: 3,138 2026 Total dwellings: 3,103 2025 Total dwellings: 3,073 2024 Total dwellings: 3,048 2023 Total dwellings: 3,027 2022 Total dwellings: 2,992 2021 Total dwellings: 2,978 2020 Total dwellings: 2,964 2019 Total dwellings: 2,950 2018 Total dwellings: 2,934 2017 Total dwellings: 2,889 2016 Total dwellings: 2,812 2015 Total dwellings: 2,747 2014 Total dwellings: 2,694 2043 Total dwellings: 3,706 2042 Total dwellings: 3,669 2041 Total dwellings: 3,632 2040 Total dwellings: 3,595 2039 Total dwellings: 3,558 2038 Total dwellings: 3,523 2037 Total dwellings: 3,488 2036 Total dwellings: 3,453 2035 Total dwellings: 3,418 2034 Total dwellings: 3,383 2033 Total dwellings: 3,348 2032 Total dwellings: 3,313 2031 Total dwellings: 3,278 2030 Total dwellings: 3,243 2029 Total dwellings: 3,208 2028 Total dwellings: 3,173 2027 Total dwellings: 3,138 2026 Total dwellings: 3,103 2025 Total dwellings: 3,073 2024 Total dwellings: 3,048 2023 Total dwellings: 3,027 2022 Total dwellings: 2,992 2021 Total dwellings: 2,978 2020 Total dwellings: 2,964 2019 Total dwellings: 2,950 2018 Total dwellings: 2,934 2017 Total dwellings: 2,889 2016 Total dwellings: 2,812 2015 Total dwellings: 2,747 2014 Total dwellings: 2,694 2043 Forecast development: 37 2042 Forecast development: 37 2041 Forecast development: 37 2040 Forecast development: 37 2039 Forecast development: 35 2038 Forecast development: 35 2037 Forecast development: 35 2036 Forecast development: 35 2035 Forecast development: 35 2034 Forecast development: 35 2033 Forecast development: 35 2032 Forecast development: 35 2031 Forecast development: 35 2030 Forecast development: 35 2029 Forecast development: 35 2028 Forecast development: 35 2027 Forecast development: 35 2026 Forecast development: 30 2025 Forecast development: 25 2024 Forecast development: 21 2023 Forecast development: 35 2022 Forecast development: 14 2021 Forecast development: 14 2020 Forecast development: 14 2019 Forecast development: 16 2018 Forecast development: 45 2017 Forecast development: 77 2016 Forecast development: 65 2015 Forecast development: 53 2014 Forecast development: 55
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2016.
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