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Te Aro

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Te Aro will increase by an average of 140 dwellings per annum to 8,855 in 2043.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Wellington City. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

2013-2016 dwelling additions are based on an assessment of major site activity and building approvals, lagged by 12-18 months. Assumptions concerning development over the forecast period include:

  • Appartmento Il Casino - 34 dwellings (2014)
  • Clyde Quay Apartments - 75 dwellings (2014)
  • Canvas Apartments - 22 dwellings (2014)
  • The Peak Apartments Tower 2 - 73 dwellings (2015)
  • Elevate Apartments - 82 dwellings (2015)
  • 77 Abel Smith Street (Cnr Abel and Victoria) - 24 dwellings (2017)
  • Ink Apartments - 52 dwellings (2017-2018)
  • Stalla Apartments - 60 dwellings (2018)
  • 9-11 Garrett Street - 22 dwellings (2018)
  • 53 Dixon Street - 99 dwellings (2018-2019)
  • Victoria Street Precinct Apartments (166 Victoria Street) - 140 dwellings (2018-2019)
  • Victoria Quarter - 389 dwellings (2019-2025)
  • 2040 Plan Prospective Sites - 847 dwellings (2019-2033)
  • 160 Victoria Street - 116 dwellings (2020-2021)
  • Aldborough Apartments - 52 dwellings (2020-2024)
  • 24-36 Haining Street - 59 dwellings (2022-2023)
  • 5 Ebor Street - 13 dwellings (2023)
  • 111 Dixon Street (Sharp Building - confidential) - 200 dwellings (2023-2026)
  • Moderate-high level of infill development (12-120 dwellings per annum)
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2043 Total dwellings: 8,855 2042 Total dwellings: 8,735 2041 Total dwellings: 8,615 2040 Total dwellings: 8,495 2039 Total dwellings: 8,375 2038 Total dwellings: 8,255 2037 Total dwellings: 8,135 2036 Total dwellings: 8,025 2035 Total dwellings: 7,915 2034 Total dwellings: 7,805 2033 Total dwellings: 7,710 2032 Total dwellings: 7,578 2031 Total dwellings: 7,423 2030 Total dwellings: 7,293 2029 Total dwellings: 7,163 2028 Total dwellings: 7,053 2027 Total dwellings: 6,943 2026 Total dwellings: 6,843 2025 Total dwellings: 6,711 2024 Total dwellings: 6,549 2023 Total dwellings: 6,355 2022 Total dwellings: 6,116 2021 Total dwellings: 5,934 2020 Total dwellings: 5,744 2019 Total dwellings: 5,553 2018 Total dwellings: 5,315 2017 Total dwellings: 5,065 2016 Total dwellings: 4,996 2015 Total dwellings: 4,974 2014 Total dwellings: 4,804 2043 Total dwellings: 8,855 2042 Total dwellings: 8,735 2041 Total dwellings: 8,615 2040 Total dwellings: 8,495 2039 Total dwellings: 8,375 2038 Total dwellings: 8,255 2037 Total dwellings: 8,135 2036 Total dwellings: 8,025 2035 Total dwellings: 7,915 2034 Total dwellings: 7,805 2033 Total dwellings: 7,710 2032 Total dwellings: 7,578 2031 Total dwellings: 7,423 2030 Total dwellings: 7,293 2029 Total dwellings: 7,163 2028 Total dwellings: 7,053 2027 Total dwellings: 6,943 2026 Total dwellings: 6,843 2025 Total dwellings: 6,711 2024 Total dwellings: 6,549 2023 Total dwellings: 6,355 2022 Total dwellings: 6,116 2021 Total dwellings: 5,934 2020 Total dwellings: 5,744 2019 Total dwellings: 5,553 2018 Total dwellings: 5,315 2017 Total dwellings: 5,065 2016 Total dwellings: 4,996 2015 Total dwellings: 4,974 2014 Total dwellings: 4,804 2043 Forecast development: 120 2042 Forecast development: 120 2041 Forecast development: 120 2040 Forecast development: 120 2039 Forecast development: 120 2038 Forecast development: 120 2037 Forecast development: 110 2036 Forecast development: 110 2035 Forecast development: 110 2034 Forecast development: 95 2033 Forecast development: 132 2032 Forecast development: 155 2031 Forecast development: 130 2030 Forecast development: 130 2029 Forecast development: 110 2028 Forecast development: 110 2027 Forecast development: 100 2026 Forecast development: 132 2025 Forecast development: 162 2024 Forecast development: 194 2023 Forecast development: 239 2022 Forecast development: 182 2021 Forecast development: 190 2020 Forecast development: 191 2019 Forecast development: 238 2018 Forecast development: 250 2017 Forecast development: 69 2016 Forecast development: 22 2015 Forecast development: 170 2014 Forecast development: 146
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2016.
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