Wellington CityPopulation forecast
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Wellington Central

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Wellington Central will increase by an average of 68 dwellings per annum to 3,363 in 2043.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Wellington City. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land developments and infill assumptions:

2013-2016 dwelling additions are based on an assessment of major site activity and building approvals, lagged by 12-18 months. Assumptions concerning development over the forecast period include:

  • One Market Lane Apartments - 44 dwellings (2015)
  • ASB Bank House Conversion (101-103 The Terrace/200-204 Lambton Quay) - 98 dwellings (2020-2021)
  • 22-42 Willis Street - 80 dwellings (2020-2022)
  • New World Metro Tower - 40 dwellings (2021-2022)
  • 2040 Plan Prospective Sites - 467 dwellings (2021-2027)
  • Low-high level of infill development (10-65 dwellings per annum)
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2043 Total dwellings: 3,363 2042 Total dwellings: 3,298 2041 Total dwellings: 3,233 2040 Total dwellings: 3,168 2039 Total dwellings: 3,103 2038 Total dwellings: 3,038 2037 Total dwellings: 2,973 2036 Total dwellings: 2,908 2035 Total dwellings: 2,843 2034 Total dwellings: 2,781 2033 Total dwellings: 2,719 2032 Total dwellings: 2,657 2031 Total dwellings: 2,602 2030 Total dwellings: 2,547 2029 Total dwellings: 2,492 2028 Total dwellings: 2,437 2027 Total dwellings: 2,382 2026 Total dwellings: 2,282 2025 Total dwellings: 2,162 2024 Total dwellings: 2,047 2023 Total dwellings: 1,917 2022 Total dwellings: 1,800 2021 Total dwellings: 1,665 2020 Total dwellings: 1,545 2019 Total dwellings: 1,433 2018 Total dwellings: 1,421 2017 Total dwellings: 1,409 2016 Total dwellings: 1,399 2015 Total dwellings: 1,389 2014 Total dwellings: 1,335 2043 Total dwellings: 3,363 2042 Total dwellings: 3,298 2041 Total dwellings: 3,233 2040 Total dwellings: 3,168 2039 Total dwellings: 3,103 2038 Total dwellings: 3,038 2037 Total dwellings: 2,973 2036 Total dwellings: 2,908 2035 Total dwellings: 2,843 2034 Total dwellings: 2,781 2033 Total dwellings: 2,719 2032 Total dwellings: 2,657 2031 Total dwellings: 2,602 2030 Total dwellings: 2,547 2029 Total dwellings: 2,492 2028 Total dwellings: 2,437 2027 Total dwellings: 2,382 2026 Total dwellings: 2,282 2025 Total dwellings: 2,162 2024 Total dwellings: 2,047 2023 Total dwellings: 1,917 2022 Total dwellings: 1,800 2021 Total dwellings: 1,665 2020 Total dwellings: 1,545 2019 Total dwellings: 1,433 2018 Total dwellings: 1,421 2017 Total dwellings: 1,409 2016 Total dwellings: 1,399 2015 Total dwellings: 1,389 2014 Total dwellings: 1,335 2043 Forecast development: 65 2042 Forecast development: 65 2041 Forecast development: 65 2040 Forecast development: 65 2039 Forecast development: 65 2038 Forecast development: 65 2037 Forecast development: 65 2036 Forecast development: 65 2035 Forecast development: 62 2034 Forecast development: 62 2033 Forecast development: 62 2032 Forecast development: 55 2031 Forecast development: 55 2030 Forecast development: 55 2029 Forecast development: 55 2028 Forecast development: 55 2027 Forecast development: 100 2026 Forecast development: 120 2025 Forecast development: 115 2024 Forecast development: 130 2023 Forecast development: 117 2022 Forecast development: 135 2021 Forecast development: 120 2020 Forecast development: 112 2019 Forecast development: 12 2018 Forecast development: 12 2017 Forecast development: 10 2016 Forecast development: 10 2015 Forecast development: 54 2014 Forecast development: 10
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2016.
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