Whanganui DistrictPopulation forecast
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St Johns Hill-Otamatea

Components of population change

The greatest population change for St Johns Hill-Otamatea is forecast for the period from 2014 to 2018, which is expected to have a net increase of 107 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
St Johns Hill-OtamateaForecast period
Component2014 to 20182019 to 20232024 to 20282029 to 20332034 to 20382039 to 2043
Births141147144142141140
Deaths313319324332337340
Natural increase/decrease-172-172-180-190-196-200
Net migration280127156190216218
Change in persons in non-private dwellings00404000

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2016.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2043 forecast population change: 3 2042 forecast population change: 2 2041 forecast population change: 3 2040 forecast population change: 6 2039 forecast population change: 5 2038 forecast population change: 4 2037 forecast population change: 5 2036 forecast population change: 4 2035 forecast population change: 3 2034 forecast population change: 4 2033 forecast population change: 40 2032 forecast population change: 2 2031 forecast population change: 0 2030 forecast population change: -2 2029 forecast population change: 0 2028 forecast population change: -5 2027 forecast population change: 35 2026 forecast population change: -4 2025 forecast population change: -4 2024 forecast population change: -6 2023 forecast population change: -10 2022 forecast population change: -9 2021 forecast population change: -15 2020 forecast population change: -10 2019 forecast population change: 0 2018 forecast population change: 2 2017 forecast population change: 9 2016 forecast population change: 12 2015 forecast population change: 26 2014 forecast population change: 58
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2016.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2043 Natural increase: -40 2042 Natural increase: -40 2041 Natural increase: -40 2040 Natural increase: -40 2039 Natural increase: -40 2038 Natural increase: -40 2037 Natural increase: -40 2036 Natural increase: -39 2035 Natural increase: -39 2034 Natural increase: -39 2033 Natural increase: -38 2032 Natural increase: -38 2031 Natural increase: -38 2030 Natural increase: -38 2029 Natural increase: -38 2028 Natural increase: -37 2027 Natural increase: -36 2026 Natural increase: -36 2025 Natural increase: -35 2024 Natural increase: -36 2023 Natural increase: -35 2022 Natural increase: -34 2021 Natural increase: -34 2020 Natural increase: -34 2019 Natural increase: -34 2018 Natural increase: -34 2017 Natural increase: -35 2016 Natural increase: -35 2015 Natural increase: -34 2014 Natural increase: -35 2043 Total deaths: 69 2042 Total deaths: 68 2041 Total deaths: 68 2040 Total deaths: 68 2039 Total deaths: 68 2038 Total deaths: 68 2037 Total deaths: 68 2036 Total deaths: 67 2035 Total deaths: 67 2034 Total deaths: 67 2033 Total deaths: 66 2032 Total deaths: 67 2031 Total deaths: 67 2030 Total deaths: 66 2029 Total deaths: 66 2028 Total deaths: 66 2027 Total deaths: 65 2026 Total deaths: 64 2025 Total deaths: 64 2024 Total deaths: 64 2023 Total deaths: 64 2022 Total deaths: 64 2021 Total deaths: 64 2020 Total deaths: 64 2019 Total deaths: 64 2018 Total deaths: 63 2017 Total deaths: 63 2016 Total deaths: 63 2015 Total deaths: 62 2014 Total deaths: 62 2043 Total births: 28 2042 Total births: 28 2041 Total births: 28 2040 Total births: 28 2039 Total births: 28 2038 Total births: 28 2037 Total births: 28 2036 Total births: 28 2035 Total births: 28 2034 Total births: 28 2033 Total births: 28 2032 Total births: 28 2031 Total births: 29 2030 Total births: 29 2029 Total births: 29 2028 Total births: 29 2027 Total births: 29 2026 Total births: 29 2025 Total births: 29 2024 Total births: 29 2023 Total births: 29 2022 Total births: 29 2021 Total births: 29 2020 Total births: 30 2019 Total births: 29 2018 Total births: 29 2017 Total births: 29 2016 Total births: 28 2015 Total births: 28 2014 Total births: 27 2043 Natural increase: -40 2042 Natural increase: -40 2041 Natural increase: -40 2040 Natural increase: -40 2039 Natural increase: -40 2038 Natural increase: -40 2037 Natural increase: -40 2036 Natural increase: -39 2035 Natural increase: -39 2034 Natural increase: -39 2033 Natural increase: -38 2032 Natural increase: -38 2031 Natural increase: -38 2030 Natural increase: -38 2029 Natural increase: -38 2028 Natural increase: -37 2027 Natural increase: -36 2026 Natural increase: -36 2025 Natural increase: -35 2024 Natural increase: -36 2023 Natural increase: -35 2022 Natural increase: -34 2021 Natural increase: -34 2020 Natural increase: -34 2019 Natural increase: -34 2018 Natural increase: -34 2017 Natural increase: -35 2016 Natural increase: -35 2015 Natural increase: -34 2014 Natural increase: -35 2043 Total deaths: 69 2042 Total deaths: 68 2041 Total deaths: 68 2040 Total deaths: 68 2039 Total deaths: 68 2038 Total deaths: 68 2037 Total deaths: 68 2036 Total deaths: 67 2035 Total deaths: 67 2034 Total deaths: 67 2033 Total deaths: 66 2032 Total deaths: 67 2031 Total deaths: 67 2030 Total deaths: 66 2029 Total deaths: 66 2028 Total deaths: 66 2027 Total deaths: 65 2026 Total deaths: 64 2025 Total deaths: 64 2024 Total deaths: 64 2023 Total deaths: 64 2022 Total deaths: 64 2021 Total deaths: 64 2020 Total deaths: 64 2019 Total deaths: 64 2018 Total deaths: 63 2017 Total deaths: 63 2016 Total deaths: 63 2015 Total deaths: 62 2014 Total deaths: 62 2043 Total births: 28 2042 Total births: 28 2041 Total births: 28 2040 Total births: 28 2039 Total births: 28 2038 Total births: 28 2037 Total births: 28 2036 Total births: 28 2035 Total births: 28 2034 Total births: 28 2033 Total births: 28 2032 Total births: 28 2031 Total births: 29 2030 Total births: 29 2029 Total births: 29 2028 Total births: 29 2027 Total births: 29 2026 Total births: 29 2025 Total births: 29 2024 Total births: 29 2023 Total births: 29 2022 Total births: 29 2021 Total births: 29 2020 Total births: 30 2019 Total births: 29 2018 Total births: 29 2017 Total births: 29 2016 Total births: 28 2015 Total births: 28 2014 Total births: 27
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2016.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2043 Total net migration: 43 2042 Total net migration: 42 2041 Total net migration: 42 2040 Total net migration: 46 2039 Total net migration: 44 2038 Total net migration: 44 2037 Total net migration: 45 2036 Total net migration: 43 2035 Total net migration: 42 2034 Total net migration: 43 2033 Total net migration: 38 2032 Total net migration: 40 2031 Total net migration: 38 2030 Total net migration: 35 2029 Total net migration: 37 2028 Total net migration: 32 2027 Total net migration: 31 2026 Total net migration: 32 2025 Total net migration: 31 2024 Total net migration: 29 2023 Total net migration: 25 2022 Total net migration: 25 2021 Total net migration: 19 2020 Total net migration: 24 2019 Total net migration: 34 2018 Total net migration: 36 2017 Total net migration: 44 2016 Total net migration: 47 2015 Total net migration: 60 2014 Total net migration: 93 2043 Total out migration: 228 2042 Total out migration: 228 2041 Total out migration: 228 2040 Total out migration: 227 2039 Total out migration: 227 2038 Total out migration: 227 2037 Total out migration: 227 2036 Total out migration: 226 2035 Total out migration: 226 2034 Total out migration: 226 2033 Total out migration: 226 2032 Total out migration: 226 2031 Total out migration: 226 2030 Total out migration: 227 2029 Total out migration: 227 2028 Total out migration: 227 2027 Total out migration: 228 2026 Total out migration: 229 2025 Total out migration: 229 2024 Total out migration: 230 2023 Total out migration: 232 2022 Total out migration: 233 2021 Total out migration: 234 2020 Total out migration: 236 2019 Total out migration: 236 2018 Total out migration: 235 2017 Total out migration: 235 2016 Total out migration: 234 2015 Total out migration: 233 2014 Total out migration: 229 2043 Total in migration: 271 2042 Total in migration: 270 2041 Total in migration: 270 2040 Total in migration: 273 2039 Total in migration: 272 2038 Total in migration: 271 2037 Total in migration: 272 2036 Total in migration: 269 2035 Total in migration: 269 2034 Total in migration: 269 2033 Total in migration: 264 2032 Total in migration: 267 2031 Total in migration: 265 2030 Total in migration: 262 2029 Total in migration: 264 2028 Total in migration: 260 2027 Total in migration: 259 2026 Total in migration: 260 2025 Total in migration: 260 2024 Total in migration: 260 2023 Total in migration: 257 2022 Total in migration: 258 2021 Total in migration: 253 2020 Total in migration: 259 2019 Total in migration: 269 2018 Total in migration: 272 2017 Total in migration: 279 2016 Total in migration: 281 2015 Total in migration: 293 2014 Total in migration: 321 2043 Total net migration: 43 2042 Total net migration: 42 2041 Total net migration: 42 2040 Total net migration: 46 2039 Total net migration: 44 2038 Total net migration: 44 2037 Total net migration: 45 2036 Total net migration: 43 2035 Total net migration: 42 2034 Total net migration: 43 2033 Total net migration: 38 2032 Total net migration: 40 2031 Total net migration: 38 2030 Total net migration: 35 2029 Total net migration: 37 2028 Total net migration: 32 2027 Total net migration: 31 2026 Total net migration: 32 2025 Total net migration: 31 2024 Total net migration: 29 2023 Total net migration: 25 2022 Total net migration: 25 2021 Total net migration: 19 2020 Total net migration: 24 2019 Total net migration: 34 2018 Total net migration: 36 2017 Total net migration: 44 2016 Total net migration: 47 2015 Total net migration: 60 2014 Total net migration: 93 2043 Total out migration: 228 2042 Total out migration: 228 2041 Total out migration: 228 2040 Total out migration: 227 2039 Total out migration: 227 2038 Total out migration: 227 2037 Total out migration: 227 2036 Total out migration: 226 2035 Total out migration: 226 2034 Total out migration: 226 2033 Total out migration: 226 2032 Total out migration: 226 2031 Total out migration: 226 2030 Total out migration: 227 2029 Total out migration: 227 2028 Total out migration: 227 2027 Total out migration: 228 2026 Total out migration: 229 2025 Total out migration: 229 2024 Total out migration: 230 2023 Total out migration: 232 2022 Total out migration: 233 2021 Total out migration: 234 2020 Total out migration: 236 2019 Total out migration: 236 2018 Total out migration: 235 2017 Total out migration: 235 2016 Total out migration: 234 2015 Total out migration: 233 2014 Total out migration: 229 2043 Total in migration: 271 2042 Total in migration: 270 2041 Total in migration: 270 2040 Total in migration: 273 2039 Total in migration: 272 2038 Total in migration: 271 2037 Total in migration: 272 2036 Total in migration: 269 2035 Total in migration: 269 2034 Total in migration: 269 2033 Total in migration: 264 2032 Total in migration: 267 2031 Total in migration: 265 2030 Total in migration: 262 2029 Total in migration: 264 2028 Total in migration: 260 2027 Total in migration: 259 2026 Total in migration: 260 2025 Total in migration: 260 2024 Total in migration: 260 2023 Total in migration: 257 2022 Total in migration: 258 2021 Total in migration: 253 2020 Total in migration: 259 2019 Total in migration: 269 2018 Total in migration: 272 2017 Total in migration: 279 2016 Total in migration: 281 2015 Total in migration: 293 2014 Total in migration: 321
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2016.
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