Whanganui DistrictPopulation forecast
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Maxwell-Brunswick-Kai Iwi-Westmere-Blueskin

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Maxwell-Brunswick-Kai Iwi-Westmere-Blueskin is 40-44 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2023 to 2028.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across Whanganui District depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • Area of relatively high growth during the forecast period. Namely due to identified residential land in Springvale South, Mannington and Montgomery.
  • Increasing gains of families aged 25-39 years with children aged 0-14 years.
  • Losses, (although slightly decreasing) of 15-19 year olds.
  • Gains of mature adults aged 40-49 years and slight gains of empty nesters and early retirees aged 50-59 years.
  • No major net gains or losses or older residents during the forecast period.
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2023 to 2028: 4 Persons aged 80-84,  2023 to 2028: -11 Persons aged 75-79,  2023 to 2028: -8 Persons aged 70-74,  2023 to 2028: -4 Persons aged 65-69,  2023 to 2028: -1 Persons aged 60-64,  2023 to 2028: 2 Persons aged 55-59,  2023 to 2028: 6 Persons aged 50-54,  2023 to 2028: 17 Persons aged 45-49,  2023 to 2028: 37 Persons aged 40-44,  2023 to 2028: 62 Persons aged 35-39,  2023 to 2028: 62 Persons aged 30-34,  2023 to 2028: 50 Persons aged 25-29,  2023 to 2028: 30 Persons aged 20-24,  2023 to 2028: -52 Persons aged 15-19,  2023 to 2028: -84 Persons aged 10-14,  2023 to 2028: 31 Persons aged 5-9,  2023 to 2028: 49 Persons aged 0-4,  2023 to 2028: 25 Persons aged 85+,  2018 to 2023: 8 Persons aged 80-84,  2018 to 2023: -10 Persons aged 75-79,  2018 to 2023: -6 Persons aged 70-74,  2018 to 2023: -4 Persons aged 65-69,  2018 to 2023: -3 Persons aged 60-64,  2018 to 2023: -6 Persons aged 55-59,  2018 to 2023: -2 Persons aged 50-54,  2018 to 2023: 5 Persons aged 45-49,  2018 to 2023: 20 Persons aged 40-44,  2018 to 2023: 48 Persons aged 35-39,  2018 to 2023: 50 Persons aged 30-34,  2018 to 2023: 43 Persons aged 25-29,  2018 to 2023: 19 Persons aged 20-24,  2018 to 2023: -70 Persons aged 15-19,  2018 to 2023: -88 Persons aged 10-14,  2018 to 2023: 13 Persons aged 5-9,  2018 to 2023: 35 Persons aged 0-4,  2018 to 2023: 8 Persons aged 85+,  2013 to 2018: 7 Persons aged 80-84,  2013 to 2018: -3 Persons aged 75-79,  2013 to 2018: -6 Persons aged 70-74,  2013 to 2018: -3 Persons aged 65-69,  2013 to 2018: -6 Persons aged 60-64,  2013 to 2018: -11 Persons aged 55-59,  2013 to 2018: -14 Persons aged 50-54,  2013 to 2018: -11 Persons aged 45-49,  2013 to 2018: 4 Persons aged 40-44,  2013 to 2018: 30 Persons aged 35-39,  2013 to 2018: 26 Persons aged 30-34,  2013 to 2018: 23 Persons aged 25-29,  2013 to 2018: 11 Persons aged 20-24,  2013 to 2018: -70 Persons aged 15-19,  2013 to 2018: -105 Persons aged 10-14,  2013 to 2018: -22 Persons aged 5-9,  2013 to 2018: 19 Persons aged 0-4,  2013 to 2018: -6 Persons aged 85+,  2023 to 2028: 4 Persons aged 80-84,  2023 to 2028: -11 Persons aged 75-79,  2023 to 2028: -8 Persons aged 70-74,  2023 to 2028: -4 Persons aged 65-69,  2023 to 2028: -1 Persons aged 60-64,  2023 to 2028: 2 Persons aged 55-59,  2023 to 2028: 6 Persons aged 50-54,  2023 to 2028: 17 Persons aged 45-49,  2023 to 2028: 37 Persons aged 40-44,  2023 to 2028: 62 Persons aged 35-39,  2023 to 2028: 62 Persons aged 30-34,  2023 to 2028: 50 Persons aged 25-29,  2023 to 2028: 30 Persons aged 20-24,  2023 to 2028: -52 Persons aged 15-19,  2023 to 2028: -84 Persons aged 10-14,  2023 to 2028: 31 Persons aged 5-9,  2023 to 2028: 49 Persons aged 0-4,  2023 to 2028: 25 Persons aged 85+,  2018 to 2023: 8 Persons aged 80-84,  2018 to 2023: -10 Persons aged 75-79,  2018 to 2023: -6 Persons aged 70-74,  2018 to 2023: -4 Persons aged 65-69,  2018 to 2023: -3 Persons aged 60-64,  2018 to 2023: -6 Persons aged 55-59,  2018 to 2023: -2 Persons aged 50-54,  2018 to 2023: 5 Persons aged 45-49,  2018 to 2023: 20 Persons aged 40-44,  2018 to 2023: 48 Persons aged 35-39,  2018 to 2023: 50 Persons aged 30-34,  2018 to 2023: 43 Persons aged 25-29,  2018 to 2023: 19 Persons aged 20-24,  2018 to 2023: -70 Persons aged 15-19,  2018 to 2023: -88 Persons aged 10-14,  2018 to 2023: 13 Persons aged 5-9,  2018 to 2023: 35 Persons aged 0-4,  2018 to 2023: 8 Persons aged 85+,  2013 to 2018: 7 Persons aged 80-84,  2013 to 2018: -3 Persons aged 75-79,  2013 to 2018: -6 Persons aged 70-74,  2013 to 2018: -3 Persons aged 65-69,  2013 to 2018: -6 Persons aged 60-64,  2013 to 2018: -11 Persons aged 55-59,  2013 to 2018: -14 Persons aged 50-54,  2013 to 2018: -11 Persons aged 45-49,  2013 to 2018: 4 Persons aged 40-44,  2013 to 2018: 30 Persons aged 35-39,  2013 to 2018: 26 Persons aged 30-34,  2013 to 2018: 23 Persons aged 25-29,  2013 to 2018: 11 Persons aged 20-24,  2013 to 2018: -70 Persons aged 15-19,  2013 to 2018: -105 Persons aged 10-14,  2013 to 2018: -22 Persons aged 5-9,  2013 to 2018: 19 Persons aged 0-4,  2013 to 2018: -6
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2016.
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