Whanganui DistrictPopulation forecast
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Aramoho

Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Aramoho indicate a 8.0% decrease in population under working age, a 32.0% increase in population of retirement age, and a 7.9% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Whanganui District is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Aramoho - Total persons201320282043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42897.62506.62326.1-57
5 to 92707.12626.92496.6-21
10 to 142697.12506.62426.4-27
15 to 192877.52326.22185.8-69
20 to 242105.51895.01915.1-18
25 to 292045.42115.62025.4-2
30 to 341864.92105.62005.3+14
35 to 392286.01844.91834.9-44
40 to 442286.01804.81854.9-43
45 to 492456.41925.12025.3-43
50 to 542546.72316.12145.7-40
55 to 592145.62356.22175.8+4
60 to 642366.22466.52326.1-4
65 to 692446.42616.92626.9+18
70 to 741754.62256.02526.7+76
75 to 791143.01774.72065.4+92
80 to 84832.21313.51594.2+76
85 and over651.71052.81293.4+65
Total persons3,799100.03,772100.03,776100.0-23

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2016.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2043: 129 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2043: 159 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2043: 206 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2043: 252 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2043: 262 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2043: 232 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2043: 217 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2043: 214 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2043: 202 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2043: 185 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2043: 183 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2043: 200 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2043: 202 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2043: 191 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2043: 218 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2043: 242 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2043: 249 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2043: 232 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028: 105 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028: 131 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028: 177 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028: 225 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028: 261 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028: 246 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028: 235 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028: 231 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028: 192 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028: 180 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028: 184 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028: 210 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028: 211 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028: 189 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028: 232 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028: 250 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028: 262 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028: 250 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013: 65 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013: 83 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013: 114 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013: 175 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013: 244 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013: 236 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013: 214 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013: 254 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013: 245 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013: 228 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013: 228 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013: 186 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013: 204 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013: 210 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013: 287 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013: 269 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013: 270 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013: 289
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2016.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028 to 2043: 25 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028 to 2043: 28 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028 to 2043: 28 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028 to 2043: 27 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028 to 2043: 1 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028 to 2043: -15 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028 to 2043: -18 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028 to 2043: -17 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028 to 2043: 10 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028 to 2043: 5 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028 to 2043: -1 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028 to 2043: -10 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028 to 2043: -8 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028 to 2043: 2 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028 to 2043: -14 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028 to 2043: -8 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028 to 2043: -13 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028 to 2043: -19 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013 to 2028: 40 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013 to 2028: 47 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013 to 2028: 63 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013 to 2028: 49 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013 to 2028: 17 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013 to 2028: 11 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013 to 2028: 22 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013 to 2028: -23 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013 to 2028: -52 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013 to 2028: -48 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013 to 2028: -44 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013 to 2028: 24 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013 to 2028: 6 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013 to 2028: -20 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013 to 2028: -55 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013 to 2028: -19 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013 to 2028: -8 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013 to 2028: -38
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2016.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant age structure for persons in Aramoho was ages 0 to 4, which accounted for 7.6% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2013 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79, which is expected to increase by 63 and account for 4.7% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2028 is 5 to 9 years, with a total of 262 persons.

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