Whanganui DistrictPopulation forecast
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Bastia Hill-Durie Hill-Putiki

Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Bastia Hill-Durie Hill-Putiki indicate a 19.5% decrease in population under working age, a 36.3% increase in population of retirement age, and a 5.3% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Whanganui District is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Bastia Hill-Durie Hill-Putiki - Total persons201320282043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41546.11134.51164.5-38
5 to 91445.81245.01285.0-17
10 to 141797.11475.91465.8-32
15 to 191475.91586.31355.3-12
20 to 241204.81174.71114.4-9
25 to 291044.21104.41084.2+4
30 to 341255.01234.91275.0+2
35 to 391435.71405.61445.6+1
40 to 441636.51506.01556.1-8
45 to 491596.31616.41656.5+7
50 to 542088.31716.81756.9-33
55 to 592028.11827.31847.2-18
60 to 642008.01757.01847.2-16
65 to 691546.11797.21716.7+17
70 to 741295.21616.41616.3+32
75 to 79743.01395.61395.5+65
80 to 84682.7933.71174.6+49
85 and over351.4552.2783.1+43
Total persons2,509100.02,498100.02,544100.0+35

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2016.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2043: 78 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2043: 117 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2043: 139 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2043: 161 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2043: 171 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2043: 184 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2043: 184 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2043: 175 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2043: 165 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2043: 155 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2043: 144 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2043: 127 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2043: 108 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2043: 111 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2043: 135 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2043: 146 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2043: 128 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2043: 116 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028: 55 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028: 93 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028: 139 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028: 161 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028: 179 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028: 175 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028: 182 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028: 171 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028: 161 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028: 150 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028: 140 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028: 123 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028: 110 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028: 117 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028: 158 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028: 147 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028: 124 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028: 113 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013: 35 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013: 68 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013: 74 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013: 129 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013: 154 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013: 200 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013: 202 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013: 208 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013: 159 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013: 163 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013: 143 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013: 125 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013: 104 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013: 120 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013: 147 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013: 179 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013: 144 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013: 154
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2016.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028 to 2043: 23 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028 to 2043: 24 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028 to 2043: 0 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028 to 2043: 0 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028 to 2043: -8 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028 to 2043: 8 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028 to 2043: 2 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028 to 2043: 5 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028 to 2043: 5 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028 to 2043: 5 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028 to 2043: 4 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028 to 2043: 5 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028 to 2043: -2 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028 to 2043: -6 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028 to 2043: -22 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028 to 2043: -1 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028 to 2043: 4 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028 to 2043: 3 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013 to 2028: 21 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013 to 2028: 24 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013 to 2028: 65 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013 to 2028: 32 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013 to 2028: 25 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013 to 2028: -24 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013 to 2028: -20 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013 to 2028: -37 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013 to 2028: 2 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013 to 2028: -13 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013 to 2028: -3 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013 to 2028: -3 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013 to 2028: 6 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013 to 2028: -3 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013 to 2028: 10 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013 to 2028: -32 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013 to 2028: -20 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013 to 2028: -41
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2016.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant age structure for persons in Bastia Hill-Durie Hill-Putiki was ages 50 to 54, which accounted for 8.3% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2013 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79, which is expected to increase by 65 and account for 5.6% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2028 is 55 to 59 years, with a total of 182 persons.

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