Whanganui DistrictPopulation forecast
Skip to content

Castlecliff North

Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Castlecliff North indicate a 13.8% increase in population under working age, a 34.6% increase in population of retirement age, and a 5.7% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Whanganui District is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Castlecliff North - Total persons201320282043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41607.91687.91727.8+12
5 to 91417.01738.21677.6+27
10 to 141406.91617.61506.9+10
15 to 191276.31075.11145.2-13
20 to 241095.4713.3924.2-17
25 to 291306.5934.41024.7-28
30 to 341115.51075.11054.8-6
35 to 391004.91225.81165.3+17
40 to 441306.41527.21476.7+18
45 to 491407.01517.11577.2+17
50 to 541607.91346.31506.8-11
55 to 591507.41346.41486.7-2
60 to 641216.01346.31396.4+18
65 to 691105.41386.61285.8+18
70 to 74914.51215.71175.3+26
75 to 79603.0773.7894.1+29
80 to 84301.5452.1622.8+33
85 and over100.5241.1351.6+25
Total persons2,019100.02,112100.02,189100.0+171

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2016.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2043: 35 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2043: 62 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2043: 89 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2043: 117 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2043: 128 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2043: 139 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2043: 148 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2043: 150 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2043: 157 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2043: 147 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2043: 116 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2043: 105 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2043: 102 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2043: 92 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2043: 114 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2043: 150 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2043: 167 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2043: 172 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028: 24 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028: 45 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028: 77 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028: 121 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028: 138 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028: 134 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028: 134 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028: 134 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028: 151 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028: 152 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028: 122 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028: 107 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028: 93 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028: 71 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028: 107 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028: 161 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028: 173 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028: 168 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013: 10 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013: 30 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013: 60 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013: 91 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013: 110 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013: 121 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013: 150 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013: 160 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013: 140 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013: 130 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013: 100 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013: 111 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013: 130 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013: 109 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013: 127 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013: 140 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013: 141 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013: 160
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2016.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028 to 2043: 11 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028 to 2043: 17 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028 to 2043: 12 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028 to 2043: -4 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028 to 2043: -11 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028 to 2043: 6 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028 to 2043: 13 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028 to 2043: 16 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028 to 2043: 6 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028 to 2043: -4 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028 to 2043: -6 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028 to 2043: -3 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028 to 2043: 9 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028 to 2043: 21 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028 to 2043: 7 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028 to 2043: -11 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028 to 2043: -6 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028 to 2043: 4 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013 to 2028: 14 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013 to 2028: 16 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013 to 2028: 17 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013 to 2028: 31 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013 to 2028: 28 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013 to 2028: 13 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013 to 2028: -15 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013 to 2028: -27 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013 to 2028: 11 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013 to 2028: 22 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013 to 2028: 22 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013 to 2028: -4 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013 to 2028: -37 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013 to 2028: -38 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013 to 2028: -20 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013 to 2028: 21 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013 to 2028: 33 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013 to 2028: 8
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2016.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant age structure for persons in Castlecliff North was ages 0 to 4, which accounted for 7.9% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2013 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages 5 to 9, which is expected to increase by 33 and account for 8.2% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2028 is 5 to 9 years, with a total of 173 persons.

v19.10.22-1.0.0