Whanganui DistrictPopulation forecast
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Maxwell-Brunswick-Kai Iwi-Westmere-Blueskin

Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Maxwell-Brunswick-Kai Iwi-Westmere-Blueskin indicate a 11.4% decrease in population under working age, a 75.3% increase in population of retirement age, and a 5.9% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Whanganui District is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Maxwell-Brunswick-Kai Iwi-Westmere-Blueskin - Total persons201320282043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41805.11975.32365.2+56
5 to 92467.02085.62635.8+17
10 to 142868.12266.12996.6+14
15 to 192497.11814.92395.3-9
20 to 241143.21153.11403.1+26
25 to 291002.91293.51443.2+44
30 to 341363.91674.51944.3+58
35 to 391594.51985.32515.5+91
40 to 442577.32356.33066.8+49
45 to 493319.42546.83377.5+5
50 to 543419.72516.83317.3-10
55 to 593108.82837.63146.9+4
60 to 642577.33098.33006.6+43
65 to 692005.72947.92856.3+85
70 to 741564.42546.82816.2+124
75 to 791053.01995.42635.8+158
80 to 84541.51343.62054.5+151
85 and over351.0832.21333.0+98
Total persons3,519100.03,717100.04,522100.0+1,003

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2016.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2043: 133 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2043: 205 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2043: 263 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2043: 281 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2043: 285 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2043: 300 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2043: 314 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2043: 331 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2043: 337 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2043: 306 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2043: 251 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2043: 194 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2043: 144 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2043: 140 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2043: 239 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2043: 299 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2043: 263 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2043: 236 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028: 83 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028: 134 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028: 199 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028: 254 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028: 294 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028: 309 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028: 283 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028: 251 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028: 254 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028: 235 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028: 198 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028: 167 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028: 129 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028: 115 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028: 181 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028: 226 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028: 208 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028: 197 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013: 35 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013: 54 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013: 105 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013: 156 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013: 200 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013: 257 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013: 310 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013: 341 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013: 331 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013: 257 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013: 159 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013: 136 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013: 100 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013: 114 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013: 249 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013: 286 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013: 246 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013: 180
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2016.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028 to 2043: 50 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028 to 2043: 71 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028 to 2043: 64 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028 to 2043: 27 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028 to 2043: -9 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028 to 2043: -9 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028 to 2043: 31 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028 to 2043: 80 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028 to 2043: 83 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028 to 2043: 71 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028 to 2043: 53 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028 to 2043: 27 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028 to 2043: 15 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028 to 2043: 25 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028 to 2043: 59 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028 to 2043: 73 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028 to 2043: 56 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028 to 2043: 40 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013 to 2028: 48 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013 to 2028: 80 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013 to 2028: 95 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013 to 2028: 97 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013 to 2028: 94 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013 to 2028: 52 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013 to 2028: -27 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013 to 2028: -90 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013 to 2028: -78 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013 to 2028: -23 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013 to 2028: 39 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013 to 2028: 30 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013 to 2028: 29 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013 to 2028: 1 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013 to 2028: -68 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013 to 2028: -59 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013 to 2028: -39 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013 to 2028: 17
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2016.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant age structure for persons in Maxwell-Brunswick-Kai Iwi-Westmere-Blueskin was ages 50 to 54, which accounted for 9.7% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2013 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages 70 to 74, which is expected to increase by 97 and account for 6.8% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2028 is 60 to 64 years, with a total of 309 persons.

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