Whanganui DistrictPopulation forecast
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Whanganui Central-Laird Park

Population and age structure

Between 2013 and 2028, the age structure forecasts for Whanganui Central-Laird Park indicate a 12.7% decrease in population under working age, a 28.1% increase in population of retirement age, and a 11.1% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Whanganui District is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Whanganui Central-Laird Park - Total persons201320282043Change between 2013 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42547.31805.31705.0-84
5 to 91704.91624.81554.6-15
10 to 141654.71725.11574.6-8
15 to 192186.22357.02086.1-10
20 to 243018.61965.81965.8-105
25 to 292256.41334.01384.1-87
30 to 341564.51374.11344.0-22
35 to 392136.11775.31504.4-63
40 to 442216.31935.71795.3-43
45 to 492156.21845.51875.5-28
50 to 542306.62266.72116.2-19
55 to 592396.82387.12236.6-16
60 to 641815.22367.02296.8+48
65 to 691594.62316.92397.1+79
70 to 741313.72196.52296.8+99
75 to 791444.11765.22166.4+72
80 to 841484.21384.11805.3+32
85 and over1193.41344.01845.4+64
Total persons3,489100.03,366100.03,383100.0-106

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2016.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2043: 184 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2043: 180 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2043: 216 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2043: 229 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2043: 239 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2043: 229 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2043: 223 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2043: 211 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2043: 187 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2043: 179 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2043: 150 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2043: 134 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2043: 138 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2043: 196 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2043: 208 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2043: 157 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2043: 155 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2043: 170 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028: 134 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028: 138 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028: 176 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028: 219 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028: 231 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028: 236 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028: 238 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028: 226 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028: 184 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028: 193 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028: 177 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028: 137 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028: 133 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028: 196 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028: 235 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028: 172 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028: 162 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028: 180 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013: 119 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013: 148 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013: 144 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013: 131 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013: 159 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013: 181 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013: 239 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013: 230 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013: 215 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013: 221 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013: 213 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013: 156 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013: 225 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013: 301 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013: 218 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013: 165 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013: 170 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013: 254
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2016.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2028 to 2043: 50 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2028 to 2043: 42 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2028 to 2043: 40 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2028 to 2043: 11 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2028 to 2043: 8 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2028 to 2043: -8 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2028 to 2043: -15 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2028 to 2043: -15 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2028 to 2043: 3 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2028 to 2043: -14 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2028 to 2043: -27 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2028 to 2043: -4 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2028 to 2043: 5 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2028 to 2043: -1 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2028 to 2043: -27 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2028 to 2043: -15 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2028 to 2043: -6 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2028 to 2043: -10 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2013 to 2028: 14 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2013 to 2028: -9 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2013 to 2028: 32 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2013 to 2028: 88 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2013 to 2028: 71 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2013 to 2028: 56 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2013 to 2028: -1 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2013 to 2028: -4 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2013 to 2028: -31 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2013 to 2028: -29 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2013 to 2028: -36 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2013 to 2028: -18 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2013 to 2028: -92 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2013 to 2028: -105 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2013 to 2028: 17 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2013 to 2028: 7 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2013 to 2028: -8 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2013 to 2028: -75
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2016.

Key findings

In 2013, the dominant age structure for persons in Whanganui Central-Laird Park was ages 20 to 24, which accounted for 8.6% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2013 and 2028 is forecast to be in ages 70 to 74, which is expected to increase by 88 and account for 6.5% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2028 is 55 to 59 years, with a total of 238 persons.

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