Whanganui DistrictPopulation forecast
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Springvale

Population, households and dwellings

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Whanganui District. The period 2013 to 2028, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
SpringvaleForecast year
Summary2013201820232028203320382043
Population3,3593,4253,4113,4003,3913,3933,398
Change in population (5yrs)--66-14-11-925
Average annual change--0.39%-0.08%-0.06%-0.05%0.01%0.03%
Households1,4371,4781,4911,5001,5051,5111,517
Average household size2.292.272.242.222.212.202.19
Population in non private dwellings68686868686868
Dwellings1,4971,5421,5631,5781,5931,6081,623
Dwelling occupancy rate95.9995.8595.3995.0694.4893.9793.47

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2016.

Forecast population, households and average household size
Forecast population, households and average household size 2043 Average household size: 2.19 2042 Average household size: 2.20 2041 Average household size: 2.20 2040 Average household size: 2.20 2039 Average household size: 2.20 2038 Average household size: 2.20 2037 Average household size: 2.20 2036 Average household size: 2.20 2035 Average household size: 2.20 2034 Average household size: 2.21 2033 Average household size: 2.21 2032 Average household size: 2.21 2031 Average household size: 2.21 2030 Average household size: 2.22 2029 Average household size: 2.22 2028 Average household size: 2.22 2027 Average household size: 2.23 2026 Average household size: 2.23 2025 Average household size: 2.24 2024 Average household size: 2.24 2023 Average household size: 2.24 2022 Average household size: 2.25 2021 Average household size: 2.25 2020 Average household size: 2.26 2019 Average household size: 2.27 2018 Average household size: 2.27 2017 Average household size: 2.28 2016 Average household size: 2.28 2015 Average household size: 2.30 2014 Average household size: 2.30 2013 Average household size: 2.29 2043 Average household size: 2.19 2042 Average household size: 2.20 2041 Average household size: 2.20 2040 Average household size: 2.20 2039 Average household size: 2.20 2038 Average household size: 2.20 2037 Average household size: 2.20 2036 Average household size: 2.20 2035 Average household size: 2.20 2034 Average household size: 2.21 2033 Average household size: 2.21 2032 Average household size: 2.21 2031 Average household size: 2.21 2030 Average household size: 2.22 2029 Average household size: 2.22 2028 Average household size: 2.22 2027 Average household size: 2.23 2026 Average household size: 2.23 2025 Average household size: 2.24 2024 Average household size: 2.24 2023 Average household size: 2.24 2022 Average household size: 2.25 2021 Average household size: 2.25 2020 Average household size: 2.26 2019 Average household size: 2.27 2018 Average household size: 2.27 2017 Average household size: 2.28 2016 Average household size: 2.28 2015 Average household size: 2.30 2014 Average household size: 2.30 2043 Households: 1,517 2042 Households: 1,516 2041 Households: 1,515 2040 Households: 1,514 2039 Households: 1,512 2038 Households: 1,511 2037 Households: 1,510 2036 Households: 1,509 2035 Households: 1,507 2034 Households: 1,506 2033 Households: 1,505 2032 Households: 1,504 2031 Households: 1,502 2030 Households: 1,501 2029 Households: 1,500 2028 Households: 1,499 2027 Households: 1,497 2026 Households: 1,496 2025 Households: 1,494 2024 Households: 1,493 2023 Households: 1,491 2022 Households: 1,489 2021 Households: 1,488 2020 Households: 1,486 2019 Households: 1,482 2018 Households: 1,477 2017 Households: 1,468 2016 Households: 1,457 2015 Households: 1,445 2014 Households: 1,434 2013 Households: 1,436 2043 Total population: 3,398 2042 Total population: 3,398 2041 Total population: 3,397 2040 Total population: 3,396 2039 Total population: 3,394 2038 Total population: 3,393 2037 Total population: 3,392 2036 Total population: 3,391 2035 Total population: 3,391 2034 Total population: 3,390 2033 Total population: 3,391 2032 Total population: 3,391 2031 Total population: 3,392 2030 Total population: 3,396 2029 Total population: 3,398 2028 Total population: 3,400 2027 Total population: 3,401 2026 Total population: 3,403 2025 Total population: 3,408 2024 Total population: 3,408 2023 Total population: 3,411 2022 Total population: 3,416 2021 Total population: 3,419 2020 Total population: 3,429 2019 Total population: 3,427 2018 Total population: 3,425 2017 Total population: 3,409 2016 Total population: 3,396 2015 Total population: 3,386 2014 Total population: 3,367 2013 Total population: 3,359
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2016.
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