Whanganui DistrictPopulation forecast
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St Johns Hill-Otamatea

Population, households and dwellings

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Whanganui District. The period 2013 to 2028, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
St Johns Hill-OtamateaForecast year
Summary2013201820232028203320382043
Population3,4793,5863,5413,5573,5973,6173,636
Change in population (5yrs)--107-4516402019
Average annual change--0.61%-0.25%0.09%0.22%0.11%0.10%
Households1,4481,5201,5341,5431,5521,5621,570
Average household size2.262.222.172.142.132.132.13
Population in non private dwellings208208208248288288288
Dwellings1,5591,6381,6581,6781,6981,7181,738
Dwelling occupancy rate92.8892.8092.5291.9591.4090.9290.33

Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2016.

Forecast population, households and average household size
Forecast population, households and average household size 2043 Average household size: 2.13 2042 Average household size: 2.13 2041 Average household size: 2.13 2040 Average household size: 2.13 2039 Average household size: 2.13 2038 Average household size: 2.13 2037 Average household size: 2.13 2036 Average household size: 2.13 2035 Average household size: 2.13 2034 Average household size: 2.13 2033 Average household size: 2.13 2032 Average household size: 2.13 2031 Average household size: 2.13 2030 Average household size: 2.14 2029 Average household size: 2.14 2028 Average household size: 2.14 2027 Average household size: 2.15 2026 Average household size: 2.16 2025 Average household size: 2.16 2024 Average household size: 2.17 2023 Average household size: 2.17 2022 Average household size: 2.18 2021 Average household size: 2.19 2020 Average household size: 2.21 2019 Average household size: 2.22 2018 Average household size: 2.22 2017 Average household size: 2.23 2016 Average household size: 2.24 2015 Average household size: 2.26 2014 Average household size: 2.27 2013 Average household size: 2.26 2043 Average household size: 2.13 2042 Average household size: 2.13 2041 Average household size: 2.13 2040 Average household size: 2.13 2039 Average household size: 2.13 2038 Average household size: 2.13 2037 Average household size: 2.13 2036 Average household size: 2.13 2035 Average household size: 2.13 2034 Average household size: 2.13 2033 Average household size: 2.13 2032 Average household size: 2.13 2031 Average household size: 2.13 2030 Average household size: 2.14 2029 Average household size: 2.14 2028 Average household size: 2.14 2027 Average household size: 2.15 2026 Average household size: 2.16 2025 Average household size: 2.16 2024 Average household size: 2.17 2023 Average household size: 2.17 2022 Average household size: 2.18 2021 Average household size: 2.19 2020 Average household size: 2.21 2019 Average household size: 2.22 2018 Average household size: 2.22 2017 Average household size: 2.23 2016 Average household size: 2.24 2015 Average household size: 2.26 2014 Average household size: 2.27 2043 Households: 1,570 2042 Households: 1,568 2041 Households: 1,567 2040 Households: 1,565 2039 Households: 1,563 2038 Households: 1,561 2037 Households: 1,560 2036 Households: 1,558 2035 Households: 1,556 2034 Households: 1,554 2033 Households: 1,553 2032 Households: 1,551 2031 Households: 1,549 2030 Households: 1,547 2029 Households: 1,545 2028 Households: 1,543 2027 Households: 1,542 2026 Households: 1,540 2025 Households: 1,538 2024 Households: 1,536 2023 Households: 1,533 2022 Households: 1,531 2021 Households: 1,528 2020 Households: 1,527 2019 Households: 1,525 2018 Households: 1,520 2017 Households: 1,512 2016 Households: 1,502 2015 Households: 1,486 2014 Households: 1,469 2013 Households: 1,448 2043 Total population: 3,636 2042 Total population: 3,633 2041 Total population: 3,631 2040 Total population: 3,628 2039 Total population: 3,622 2038 Total population: 3,617 2037 Total population: 3,613 2036 Total population: 3,608 2035 Total population: 3,605 2034 Total population: 3,602 2033 Total population: 3,597 2032 Total population: 3,557 2031 Total population: 3,555 2030 Total population: 3,555 2029 Total population: 3,557 2028 Total population: 3,557 2027 Total population: 3,562 2026 Total population: 3,527 2025 Total population: 3,531 2024 Total population: 3,535 2023 Total population: 3,541 2022 Total population: 3,551 2021 Total population: 3,560 2020 Total population: 3,575 2019 Total population: 3,586 2018 Total population: 3,586 2017 Total population: 3,584 2016 Total population: 3,575 2015 Total population: 3,563 2014 Total population: 3,537 2013 Total population: 3,479
Population and household forecasts, 2013 to 2043, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2016.
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